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Championship | Gameweek 11
Oct 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
Kiyan Prince Foundation Stadium
Blackburn logo

QPR
0 - 4
Blackburn


Clarke-Salter (22'), Smyth (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Dolan (19'), Sigurdsson (23', 59'), Szmodics (66')
Szmodics (43'), Gilsenan (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Queens Park Rangers and Blackburn Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leeds 1-0 QPR
Wednesday, October 4 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Queens Park Rangers 1-2 Blackburn Rovers

This has all the makings of being a nervy affair, particularly in the case of QPR who are making minimal progress under Ainsworth. Both teams may settle for a point, but Blackburn could take their chance to net a winner during the closing stages. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 56.19%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 21.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.76%) and 0-2 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.5%), while for a Queens Park Rangers win it was 2-1 (5.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Blackburn Rovers would win this match.

Result
Queens Park RangersDrawBlackburn Rovers
21.42% (0.461 0.46) 22.38% (0.187 0.19) 56.19% (-0.649 -0.65)
Both teams to score 55.9% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.77% (-0.253 -0.25)43.22% (0.254 0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.37% (-0.25 -0.25)65.62% (0.252 0.25)
Queens Park Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.93% (0.298 0.3)34.06% (-0.296 -0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.25% (0.319 0.32)70.75% (-0.318 -0.32)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.78% (-0.298 -0.3)15.21% (0.298 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.13% (-0.566 -0.57)43.86% (0.567 0.57)
Score Analysis
    Queens Park Rangers 21.42%
    Blackburn Rovers 56.19%
    Draw 22.38%
Queens Park RangersDrawBlackburn Rovers
2-1 @ 5.66% (0.095 0.09)
1-0 @ 5.58% (0.106 0.11)
2-0 @ 3.01% (0.081 0.08)
3-1 @ 2.03% (0.05 0.05)
3-2 @ 1.91% (0.028 0.03)
3-0 @ 1.08% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 21.42%
1-1 @ 10.5% (0.09 0.09)
2-2 @ 5.33% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 5.18% (0.058 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.2% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 22.38%
1-2 @ 9.89% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
0-1 @ 9.76% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 9.19% (-0.09 -0.09)
1-3 @ 6.21% (-0.076 -0.08)
0-3 @ 5.77% (-0.118 -0.12)
2-3 @ 3.34% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-4 @ 2.92% (-0.067 -0.07)
0-4 @ 2.71% (-0.085 -0.09)
2-4 @ 1.57% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-5 @ 1.1% (-0.037 -0.04)
0-5 @ 1.02% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 56.19%

How you voted: QPR vs Blackburn

Queens Park Rangers
33.3%
Draw
33.3%
Blackburn Rovers
33.3%
6
Head to Head
Feb 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 34
QPR
1-3
Blackburn
Gallagher (14', 60'), Szmodics (45+2')
Jul 30, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 1
Blackburn
1-0
QPR
Travis (34')
Buckley (11')

Dykes (12')
Feb 26, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 35
Blackburn
1-0
QPR
Khadra (77')
Travis (84'), Kaminski (89'), Wharton (90+1')

Field (6'), Chair (90+2')
Oct 19, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
QPR
1-0
Blackburn
Chair (83')
Dickie (28'), Amos (90+4')

Clarkson (45+1'), Butterworth (50'), Rothwell (55')
Feb 6, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 28
QPR
1-0
Blackburn
Barbet (54')
Austin (5'), Ball (20'), Adomah (90+2')

Davenport (9'), Gallagher (60')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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