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Championship | Gameweek 41
Apr 6, 2024 at 3pm UK
Ewood Park
Southampton logo

Blackburn
0 - 0
Southampton


Dolan (59'), Rankin-Costello (90+3'), Adams (90+5')
FT

Brooks (62'), Pickering (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Blackburn Rovers and Southampton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sunderland 1-5 Blackburn
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Blackburn Rovers 2-3 Southampton

All the signs are there that this could be somewhat of a goal-fest, although it is unclear who may prevail at Ewood Park. For us, we have to give the nod to the visitors, who have more reason to throw caution to the wind in the latter stages. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 50.82%. A win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 27.03% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.23%) and 0-2 (6.96%). The likeliest Blackburn Rovers win was 2-1 (6.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.

Result
Blackburn RoversDrawSouthampton
27.03% (-1.303 -1.3) 22.16% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08) 50.82% (1.382 1.38)
Both teams to score 63.44% (-0.84699999999999 -0.85)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.73% (-0.639 -0.64)36.28% (0.643 0.64)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.6% (-0.704 -0.7)58.4% (0.708 0.71)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.25% (-1.196 -1.2)25.75% (1.2 1.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.31% (-1.653 -1.65)60.69% (1.658 1.66)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.44% (0.23399999999999 0.23)14.56% (-0.229 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.39% (0.446 0.45)42.62% (-0.442 -0.44)
Score Analysis
    Blackburn Rovers 27.03%
    Southampton 50.82%
    Draw 22.16%
Blackburn RoversDrawSouthampton
2-1 @ 6.65% (-0.195 -0.2)
1-0 @ 5.09% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-0 @ 3.45% (-0.13 -0.13)
3-1 @ 3.01% (-0.197 -0.2)
3-2 @ 2.9% (-0.164 -0.16)
3-0 @ 1.56% (-0.115 -0.12)
4-1 @ 1.02% (-0.105 -0.11)
4-2 @ 0.98% (-0.092 -0.09)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 27.03%
1-1 @ 9.8% (0.055 0.05)
2-2 @ 6.41% (-0.134 -0.13)
0-0 @ 3.75% (0.118 0.12)
3-3 @ 1.86% (-0.089 -0.09)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 22.16%
1-2 @ 9.44% (0.129 0.13)
0-1 @ 7.23% (0.284 0.28)
0-2 @ 6.96% (0.329 0.33)
1-3 @ 6.07% (0.132 0.13)
0-3 @ 4.47% (0.246 0.25)
2-3 @ 4.11% (-0.052 -0.05)
1-4 @ 2.92% (0.087 0.09)
0-4 @ 2.15% (0.135 0.14)
2-4 @ 1.98% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-5 @ 1.13% (0.043 0.04)
Other @ 4.36%
Total : 50.82%

How you voted: Blackburn vs Southampton

Blackburn Rovers
21.2%
Draw
24.2%
Southampton
54.5%
33
Head to Head
Dec 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 22
Southampton
4-0
Blackburn
Edozie (44'), Armstrong (64'), Mara (90+7'), Alcaraz (90+9')
Downes (37'), Smallbone (67'), Aribo (76')

Brittain (26'), Szmodics (67'), Carter (90+10')
Brittain (55')
Apr 9, 2005 3pm
Blackburn
3-0
Southampton
Reid (55'), Gamst Pedersen (11'), Jakobsson (48' og.)
Emerton (50'), Reid (74')

Camara (30')
Aug 21, 2004 3pm
Southampton
3-2
Blackburn
Svensson (74'), Phillips (32'), Beattie (90' pen.)
Ferguson (50')
Ferguson (82'), Johansson (90')
Feb 28, 2004 3pm
Oct 25, 2003 3pm
Southampton
2-0
Blackburn
Beattie (59'), Griffit (87')

Todd (60')
Cole (65')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd21145230111945
2Leeds UnitedLeeds21126337152242
3Burnley2111822681841
4Sunderland21117332171540
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2011452517837
6Middlesbrough21104735251034
7Watford2010462926334
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds218582630-429
10Swansea CitySwansea217682322127
11Bristol City216962626027
12Norwich CityNorwich216873632426
13Millwall206772018225
14Derby CountyDerby216692626024
15Coventry CityCoventry216692730-324
16Preston North EndPreston2141162127-623
17Stoke CityStoke215792328-522
18Queens Park RangersQPR2141072127-622
19Luton TownLuton2164112337-1422
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2046102133-1218
21Cardiff CityCardiff2046101932-1318
22Portsmouth193882134-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2045111942-2317
24Hull City2137111930-1116


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