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Championship | Gameweek 41
Apr 6, 2024 at 3pm UK
Ewood Park
Southampton logo

Blackburn
0 - 0
Southampton


Dolan (59'), Rankin-Costello (90+3'), Adams (90+5')
FT

Brooks (62'), Pickering (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Blackburn Rovers and Southampton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sunderland 1-5 Blackburn
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Blackburn Rovers 2-3 Southampton

All the signs are there that this could be somewhat of a goal-fest, although it is unclear who may prevail at Ewood Park. For us, we have to give the nod to the visitors, who have more reason to throw caution to the wind in the latter stages. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 50.82%. A win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 27.03% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.23%) and 0-2 (6.96%). The likeliest Blackburn Rovers win was 2-1 (6.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.

Result
Blackburn RoversDrawSouthampton
27.03% (-1.303 -1.3) 22.16% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08) 50.82% (1.382 1.38)
Both teams to score 63.44% (-0.84699999999999 -0.85)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.73% (-0.639 -0.64)36.28% (0.643 0.64)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.6% (-0.704 -0.7)58.4% (0.708 0.71)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.25% (-1.196 -1.2)25.75% (1.2 1.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.31% (-1.653 -1.65)60.69% (1.658 1.66)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.44% (0.23399999999999 0.23)14.56% (-0.229 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.39% (0.446 0.45)42.62% (-0.442 -0.44)
Score Analysis
    Blackburn Rovers 27.03%
    Southampton 50.82%
    Draw 22.16%
Blackburn RoversDrawSouthampton
2-1 @ 6.65% (-0.195 -0.2)
1-0 @ 5.09% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-0 @ 3.45% (-0.13 -0.13)
3-1 @ 3.01% (-0.197 -0.2)
3-2 @ 2.9% (-0.164 -0.16)
3-0 @ 1.56% (-0.115 -0.12)
4-1 @ 1.02% (-0.105 -0.11)
4-2 @ 0.98% (-0.092 -0.09)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 27.03%
1-1 @ 9.8% (0.055 0.05)
2-2 @ 6.41% (-0.134 -0.13)
0-0 @ 3.75% (0.118 0.12)
3-3 @ 1.86% (-0.089 -0.09)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 22.16%
1-2 @ 9.44% (0.129 0.13)
0-1 @ 7.23% (0.284 0.28)
0-2 @ 6.96% (0.329 0.33)
1-3 @ 6.07% (0.132 0.13)
0-3 @ 4.47% (0.246 0.25)
2-3 @ 4.11% (-0.052 -0.05)
1-4 @ 2.92% (0.087 0.09)
0-4 @ 2.15% (0.135 0.14)
2-4 @ 1.98% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-5 @ 1.13% (0.043 0.04)
Other @ 4.36%
Total : 50.82%

How you voted: Blackburn vs Southampton

Blackburn Rovers
21.2%
Draw
24.2%
Southampton
54.5%
33
Head to Head
Dec 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 22
Southampton
4-0
Blackburn
Edozie (44'), Armstrong (64'), Mara (90+7'), Alcaraz (90+9')
Downes (37'), Smallbone (67'), Aribo (76')

Brittain (26'), Szmodics (67'), Carter (90+10')
Brittain (55')
Apr 9, 2005 3pm
Blackburn
3-0
Southampton
Reid (55'), Gamst Pedersen (11'), Jakobsson (48' og.)
Emerton (50'), Reid (74')

Camara (30')
Aug 21, 2004 3pm
Southampton
3-2
Blackburn
Svensson (74'), Phillips (32'), Beattie (90' pen.)
Ferguson (50')
Ferguson (82'), Johansson (90')
Feb 28, 2004 3pm
Oct 25, 2003 3pm
Southampton
2-0
Blackburn
Beattie (59'), Griffit (87')

Todd (60')
Cole (65')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom7511125716
2Sunderland7502146815
3Blackburn RoversBlackburn7430146815
4Burnley7421134914
5Leeds UnitedLeeds7421124814
6Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd743093613
7Watford74121210213
8Middlesbrough732285311
9Norwich CityNorwich7322119211
10Swansea CitySwansea631274310
11Oxford UnitedOxford Utd7313108210
12Hull City72329819
13Derby CountyDerby7304101009
14Millwall7223121028
15Plymouth ArgylePlymouth7223811-38
16Bristol City6222812-48
17Queens Park RangersQPR7142811-37
18Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds7214914-57
19Luton TownLuton7214611-57
20Stoke CityStoke7205411-76
21Coventry CityCoventry7124611-55
22Preston North EndPreston7124412-85
23Portsmouth7043713-64
24Cardiff CityCardiff7016217-151


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