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Championship | Gameweek 41
Apr 6, 2024 at 3pm UK
Ewood Park
Southampton logo

Blackburn
0 - 0
Southampton


Dolan (59'), Rankin-Costello (90+3'), Adams (90+5')
FT

Brooks (62'), Pickering (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Blackburn Rovers and Southampton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sunderland 1-5 Blackburn
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Blackburn Rovers 2-3 Southampton

All the signs are there that this could be somewhat of a goal-fest, although it is unclear who may prevail at Ewood Park. For us, we have to give the nod to the visitors, who have more reason to throw caution to the wind in the latter stages. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 50.82%. A win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 27.03% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.23%) and 0-2 (6.96%). The likeliest Blackburn Rovers win was 2-1 (6.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.

Result
Blackburn RoversDrawSouthampton
27.03% (-1.303 -1.3) 22.16% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08) 50.82% (1.382 1.38)
Both teams to score 63.44% (-0.84699999999999 -0.85)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.73% (-0.639 -0.64)36.28% (0.643 0.64)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.6% (-0.704 -0.7)58.4% (0.708 0.71)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.25% (-1.196 -1.2)25.75% (1.2 1.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.31% (-1.653 -1.65)60.69% (1.658 1.66)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.44% (0.23399999999999 0.23)14.56% (-0.229 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.39% (0.446 0.45)42.62% (-0.442 -0.44)
Score Analysis
    Blackburn Rovers 27.03%
    Southampton 50.82%
    Draw 22.16%
Blackburn RoversDrawSouthampton
2-1 @ 6.65% (-0.195 -0.2)
1-0 @ 5.09% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-0 @ 3.45% (-0.13 -0.13)
3-1 @ 3.01% (-0.197 -0.2)
3-2 @ 2.9% (-0.164 -0.16)
3-0 @ 1.56% (-0.115 -0.12)
4-1 @ 1.02% (-0.105 -0.11)
4-2 @ 0.98% (-0.092 -0.09)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 27.03%
1-1 @ 9.8% (0.055 0.05)
2-2 @ 6.41% (-0.134 -0.13)
0-0 @ 3.75% (0.118 0.12)
3-3 @ 1.86% (-0.089 -0.09)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 22.16%
1-2 @ 9.44% (0.129 0.13)
0-1 @ 7.23% (0.284 0.28)
0-2 @ 6.96% (0.329 0.33)
1-3 @ 6.07% (0.132 0.13)
0-3 @ 4.47% (0.246 0.25)
2-3 @ 4.11% (-0.052 -0.05)
1-4 @ 2.92% (0.087 0.09)
0-4 @ 2.15% (0.135 0.14)
2-4 @ 1.98% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-5 @ 1.13% (0.043 0.04)
Other @ 4.36%
Total : 50.82%

How you voted: Blackburn vs Southampton

Blackburn Rovers
21.2%
Draw
24.2%
Southampton
54.5%
33
Head to Head
Dec 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 22
Southampton
4-0
Blackburn
Edozie (44'), Armstrong (64'), Mara (90+7'), Alcaraz (90+9')
Downes (37'), Smallbone (67'), Aribo (76')

Brittain (26'), Szmodics (67'), Carter (90+10')
Brittain (55')
Apr 9, 2005 3pm
Blackburn
3-0
Southampton
Reid (55'), Gamst Pedersen (11'), Jakobsson (48' og.)
Emerton (50'), Reid (74')

Camara (30')
Aug 21, 2004 3pm
Southampton
3-2
Blackburn
Svensson (74'), Phillips (32'), Beattie (90' pen.)
Ferguson (50')
Ferguson (82'), Johansson (90')
Feb 28, 2004 3pm
Oct 25, 2003 3pm
Southampton
2-0
Blackburn
Beattie (59'), Griffit (87')

Todd (60')
Cole (65')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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