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Championship | Gameweek 36
Mar 5, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Ewood Park
Millwall logo

Blackburn
1 - 1
Millwall

Szmodics (63')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Obafemi (54')
Tanganga (36')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Blackburn Rovers and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Millwall 1-0 Watford
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Blackburn Rovers 0-0 Millwall

In a game that both teams will be desperate to avoid defeat in, we are expecting a cagey contest on Tuesday night, especially with Harris's Millwall in town. Blackburn have the division's top goalscorer, but we reckon that they will have to settle for another home point under the leadership of Eustace. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 50.29%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 25.61% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (8.47%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (6.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Blackburn RoversDrawMillwall
50.29% (0.038000000000004 0.04) 24.1% (0.319 0.32) 25.61% (-0.355 -0.35)
Both teams to score 55.28% (-1.401 -1.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.56% (-1.688 -1.69)46.44% (1.69 1.69)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.28% (-1.609 -1.61)68.72% (1.61 1.61)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.49% (-0.63 -0.63)18.51% (0.631 0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.27% (-1.073 -1.07)49.73% (1.074 1.07)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.83% (-1.184 -1.18)32.17% (1.186 1.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.35% (-1.364 -1.36)68.65% (1.365 1.36)
Score Analysis
    Blackburn Rovers 50.29%
    Millwall 25.61%
    Draw 24.1%
Blackburn RoversDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 10.04% (0.504 0.5)
2-1 @ 9.61% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.47% (0.263 0.26)
3-1 @ 5.4% (-0.117 -0.12)
3-0 @ 4.76% (0.053 0.05)
3-2 @ 3.06% (-0.17 -0.17)
4-1 @ 2.28% (-0.097 -0.1)
4-0 @ 2.01% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.29% (-0.1 -0.1)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 50.29%
1-1 @ 11.39% (0.22 0.22)
0-0 @ 5.95% (0.414 0.41)
2-2 @ 5.45% (-0.186 -0.19)
3-3 @ 1.16% (-0.104 -0.1)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.1%
0-1 @ 6.75% (0.262 0.26)
1-2 @ 6.46% (-0.086 -0.09)
0-2 @ 3.83% (0.027 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.44% (-0.115 -0.12)
2-3 @ 2.06% (-0.141 -0.14)
0-3 @ 1.45% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 25.61%

How you voted: Blackburn vs Millwall

Blackburn Rovers
50.6%
Draw
24.1%
Millwall
25.3%
87
Head to Head
Oct 24, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Millwall
1-2
Blackburn
Harding (3')
Rankin-Costello (22'), Brittain (51')
Dolan (90+3')
May 8, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 46
Millwall
3-4
Blackburn
Watmore (8', 37'), Burke (39')
Wharton (22'), Rankin-Costello (51'), Brereton Diaz (63', 86')
Oct 1, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 12
Blackburn
2-1
Millwall
Dolan (57'), Brereton Diaz (63')
Cooper (75')
Mar 8, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 33
Blackburn
0-0
Millwall
Cooper (41'), Wallace (67'), Saville (73')
Aug 14, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 2
Millwall
1-1
Blackburn
Wallace (64')
Kieftenbeld (60')
Brereton Diaz (76')
Lenihan (52'), Ayala (82')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Saturday, June 29
 
5pm
 
8pm
Sunday, June 30
 
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Monday, July 1
 
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Tuesday, July 2
 
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Friday, July 5
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Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain33009
Q Italy Italy31114
3 Croatia Croatia30212
4 Albania national flag Albania30121

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
Q England flag England31205
Q Denmark Denmark30303
Q Slovenia Slovenia30303
4 Serbia Serbia30212

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Austria Austria32016
Q France France31205
Q Netherlands Netherlands31114
4 Poland Poland30121

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Romania Romania31114
Q Belgium Belgium31114
Q Slovakia Slovakia31114
4 Ukraine Ukraine31114

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal32016
Q Turkey Turkey32016
Q Georgia Georgia31114
4 Czech Republic Czech Republic30121


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