Championship

Championship | Gameweek 38

Mar 19, 2023 at 12.30pm UK

Swansea.com Stadium

Swansea
2 - 0
Bristol City

Cullen (34'), Ntcham (77')
Manning (82'), Piroe (82')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Wells (74'), Sykes (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Bristol City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Swansea City

All competitions

Last Game: Millwall 2-1 Swansea
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Bristol City

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Luton 1-0 Bristol City
Wednesday, March 15 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Swansea City 1-1 Bristol City

Such is the increasing pressure on Swansea that Bristol City will fancy their chances of inflicting another defeat on their hosts. Nevertheless, even with the Robins in a position where they need to push for maximum points, we expect Swansea to do enough to earn a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 49.89%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 25.15% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 2-0 (8.96%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 0-1 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swansea City would win this match.

Result
Swansea City	Draw	Bristol City
49.89% ( 1.77)	24.95% ( -0.47)	25.15% ( -1.31)

Both teams to score 52.13% (

0.25)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.61% (

0.9)

50.38% (

-0.9)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.68% (

0.79)

72.32% (

-0.79)

Swansea City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.79% (

1.12)

20.21% (

-1.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.48% (

1.76)

52.52% (

-1.76)

Bristol City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.33% (

-0.61)

34.67% (

0.61)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.6% (

-0.65)

71.39% (

0.65)

Score Analysis

Swansea City 49.89%

Bristol City 25.15%

Draw 24.94%

Swansea City	Draw	Bristol City
1-0 @ 11.2% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.49% ( 0.15) 2-0 @ 8.96% ( 0.29) 3-1 @ 5.06% ( 0.25) 3-0 @ 4.78% ( 0.31) 3-2 @ 2.68% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 2.02% ( 0.16) 4-0 @ 1.91% ( 0.18) 4-2 @ 1.07% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.73% Total : 49.89%	1-1 @ 11.86% ( -0.22) 0-0 @ 7.01% ( -0.26) 2-2 @ 5.03% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.94%	0-1 @ 7.42% ( -0.4) 1-2 @ 6.29% ( -0.22) 0-2 @ 3.93% ( -0.28) 1-3 @ 2.22% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.12) Other @ 2.13% Total : 25.15%