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Bristol City
Championship | Gameweek 40
Apr 5, 2025 at 3pm UK
Robins High Performance Centre
Watford logo

Bristol City
2 - 1
Watford

McCrorie (24'), Wells (29')
Earthy (69')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Doumbia (80')
Kayembe (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Bristol City and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Burnley 1-0 Bristol City
Saturday, March 29 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 0-0 Plymouth
Saturday, March 29 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Bristol City 2-1 Watford

The hosts have been excellent at home this season, and we expect them to edge a close game this weekend. With playoff dreams on the line for both clubs, it should be an entertaining match, and as Watford do not win many away from home, we think that Bristol City will claim all three points here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Bristol City win with a probability of 54.08%. A draw has a probability of 24.7% and a win for Watford has a probability of 21.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.36%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.7%), while for a Watford win it is 0-1 (7.17%).

Result
Bristol CityDrawWatford
54.08% (-0.528 -0.53) 24.69% (0.351 0.35) 21.23% (0.179 0.18)
Both teams to score 48.43% (-0.777 -0.78)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.99% (-1.156 -1.16)53.01% (1.158 1.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.4% (-0.994 -0.99)74.6% (0.995 1)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.45% (-0.65000000000001 -0.65)19.55% (0.651 0.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.54% (-1.072 -1.07)51.46% (1.073 1.07)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.2% (-0.476 -0.48)39.79% (0.477 0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.54% (-0.442 -0.44)76.46% (0.443 0.44)
Score Analysis
    Bristol City 54.07%
    Watford 21.23%
    Draw 24.69%
Bristol CityDrawWatford
1-0 @ 12.69% (0.32 0.32)
2-0 @ 10.36% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-1 @ 9.55% (-0.078000000000001 -0.08)
3-0 @ 5.64% (-0.088 -0.09)
3-1 @ 5.2% (-0.151 -0.15)
3-2 @ 2.39% (-0.102 -0.1)
4-0 @ 2.3% (-0.085 -0.09)
4-1 @ 2.12% (-0.107 -0.11)
4-2 @ 0.98% (-0.063 -0.06)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 54.07%
1-1 @ 11.7% (0.15 0.15)
0-0 @ 7.78% (0.349 0.35)
2-2 @ 4.4% (-0.093999999999999 -0.09)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 24.69%
0-1 @ 7.17% (0.232 0.23)
1-2 @ 5.39% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 3.3% (0.065 0.07)
1-3 @ 1.66% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.35% (-0.047 -0.05)
0-3 @ 1.01% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 1.35%
Total : 21.23%

How you voted: Bristol City vs Watford

Bristol City
Draw
Watford
Bristol City
68.0%
Draw
12.0%
Watford
20.0%
25
Head to Head
Nov 26, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 17
Watford
1-0
Bristol City
Andrews (54')
Sierralta (46'), Issouf Bayo (80')

Twine (72'), Pring (87')
Jan 20, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 28
Bristol City
1-1
Watford
Twine (25')
McCrorie (36')
Dele-Bashiru (13' pen.)
Asprilla (14'), Andrews (40')
Dec 26, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 24
Watford
1-4
Bristol City
Chakvetadze (49')
Hoedt (80')
Pring (28'), Hoedt (45+2' og.), Sykes (50'), Weimann (83')
Apr 15, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 42
Watford
2-0
Bristol City
Cornick (6' og.), Pedro (54')
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds442713489296094
2Burnley442616261154694
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd442771060352586
4Sunderland4421131058411776
5Bristol City441716115749867
6Coventry CityCoventry44199166257566
7Middlesbrough441891764541063
8Millwall441712154546-163
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn44188185046462
10West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom441418125244860
11Swansea CitySwansea44179184852-460
12Watford44168205158-756
13Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds441511185867-956
14Norwich CityNorwich441314176766153
15Queens Park RangersQPR441314175258-653
16Portsmouth441410205669-1352
17Stoke CityStoke441214184560-1550
18Preston North EndPreston441019154555-1049
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd441213194462-1849
20Hull City441212204352-948
21Derby CountyDerby441210224756-946
22Luton TownLuton441210224164-2346
23Cardiff CityCardiff44916194669-2343
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth441013214885-3743


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