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Bristol City
Championship | Gameweek 34
Feb 21, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Robins High Performance Centre
Middlesbrough logo

Bristol City
2 - 1
Middlesbrough

Earthy (72', 82')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Conway (37')
Dijksteel (57'), Hackney (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Bristol City and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cardiff 1-1 Bristol City
Saturday, February 15 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 0-1 Watford
Saturday, February 15 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Bristol City 2-1 Middlesbrough

Bristol City have collected six wins from their last eight home league matches, and with that in mind, we think that the Robins will make full use of home advantage to condemn Middlesbrough to a fifth consecutive defeat to pile more pressure on Carrick. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 40.29%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 32.72% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 0-1 (9.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Bristol City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Bristol City.

Result
Bristol CityDrawMiddlesbrough
40.29% (0.218 0.22) 26.99% (0.012999999999998 0.01) 32.72% (-0.231 -0.23)
Both teams to score 50.43% (-0.103 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.24% (-0.10100000000001 -0.1)54.76% (0.102 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.93% (-0.084 -0.08)76.07% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.34% (0.071999999999989 0.07)26.66% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.09% (0.094999999999999 0.09)61.91% (-0.095999999999997 -0.1)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.76% (-0.208 -0.21)31.24% (0.208 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.41% (-0.243 -0.24)67.59% (0.24300000000001 0.24)
Score Analysis
    Bristol City 40.28%
    Middlesbrough 32.72%
    Draw 26.99%
Bristol CityDrawMiddlesbrough
1-0 @ 11.01% (0.07 0.07)
2-1 @ 8.47% (0.019 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.28% (0.058 0.06)
3-1 @ 3.73% (0.016 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.21% (0.032 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.17% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.23% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.06% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 40.28%
1-1 @ 12.81% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.33% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.93% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 26.99%
0-1 @ 9.69% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.45% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-2 @ 5.64% (-0.042000000000001 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.89% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.19% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.91% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 32.72%

How you voted: Bristol City vs Middlesbrough

Bristol City
81.7%
Draw
9.9%
Middlesbrough
8.5%
71
Head to Head
Oct 19, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 10
Middlesbrough
0-2
Bristol City

Hackney (3'), van den Berg (8'), Azaz (13'), Doak (50'), Ayling (56')
Mehmeti (27'), Hirakawa (45+2')
McCrorie (41'), McNally (43'), Earthy (83')
Feb 10, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 31
Middlesbrough
1-2
Bristol City
Silvera (90+1')
Barlaser (73')
Knight (16'), James (17')
Nov 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 17
Bristol City
3-2
Middlesbrough
Gardner-Hickman (37'), Conway (45+1' pen.), Sykes (67')
Gardner-Hickman (42'), Pring (77')
Vyner (50' og.), Crooks (52')
Fry (44'), Greenwood (63')
Apr 10, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 41
Bristol City
2-2
Middlesbrough
Bell (45+1'), Cornick (49')
Ramsey (58'), Crooks (64')
Nov 5, 2022 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds362210472234976
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd36246651272476
3Burnley362014249103974
4Sunderland361911654332168
5Coventry CityCoventry36168125246656
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom361316746321455
7Bristol City36131494639753
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn36157144137452
9Middlesbrough36148145547850
10Norwich CityNorwich361213115749849
11Watford36147154650-449
12Millwall361212123637-148
13Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds36139145056-648
14Queens Park RangersQPR361111144146-544
15Swansea CitySwansea36128163846-844
16Preston North EndPreston36916113642-643
17Portsmouth36119164457-1342
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd36912153753-1639
19Hull City36910173645-937
20Stoke CityStoke36812163650-1436
21Cardiff CityCardiff36812163959-2036
22Derby CountyDerby3688203549-1432
23Luton TownLuton3687213259-2731
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth36612183673-3730


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