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Championship | Gameweek 42
Apr 15, 2023 at 3pm UK
Vicarage Road
Bristol City

Watford
2 - 0
Bristol City

Cornick (6' og.), Pedro (54')
Porteous (61')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Tanner (27'), James (84'), Mehmeti (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Watford and Bristol City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Coventry 2-2 Watford
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Bristol City 2-2 Middlesbrough
Monday, April 10 at 5.30pm in Championship

We said: Watford 2-1 Bristol City

Both clubs have to go all out for victory in this contest, particularly the visitors. That could lead to greater opportunities for Watford on the counter, who we are backing to edge this fixture with a decisive goal in the latter stages. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 51.42%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 23.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.71%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.98%), while for a Bristol City win it was 0-1 (7.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Watford would win this match.

Result
WatfordDrawBristol City
51.42% (0.075999999999993 0.08) 25.26% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 23.32% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Both teams to score 49.32% (-0.012 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.85% (0.015999999999998 0.02)53.14% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.28% (0.014000000000003 0.01)74.72% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.32% (0.037999999999997 0.04)20.68% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.73% (0.061 0.06)53.27% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.18% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)37.82% (0.044999999999995 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.41% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)74.59% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Watford 51.41%
    Bristol City 23.32%
    Draw 25.25%
WatfordDrawBristol City
1-0 @ 12.32% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.71% (0.016 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.45% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.1% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.96% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.41%
4-0 @ 2.01% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.96% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.95% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 51.41%
1-1 @ 11.98% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.82% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-2 @ 4.59% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 25.25%
0-1 @ 7.6% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.83% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.7% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.89% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 1.49% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.2% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 23.32%

How you voted: Watford vs Bristol City

Watford
75.0%
Draw
0.0%
Bristol City
25.0%
20
Head to Head
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Feb 13, 2021 3pm
Watford
6-0
Bristol City
Moore (2' og.), Sarr (15', 55'), Hughes (30'), Sema (35'), Zinckernagel (90')
Chalobah (17'), Pedro (81')

Moore (7'), Diedhiou (47'), Palmer (81')
Nov 25, 2020 7.45pm
Jan 6, 2018 3pm
Third Round
Watford
3-0
Bristol City
Carrillo (37'), Deeney (57'), Capoue (85')
Kabasele (30')
Aug 22, 2017 7.45pm
Second Round
Watford
2-3
Bristol City
Capoue (47'), Mariappa (95')
Capoue (35'), Holebas (52')
Holebas (88')
Hinds (59'), Reid (67'), Eliasson (93')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd21145230111945
2Leeds UnitedLeeds21126337152242
3Burnley2111822681841
4Sunderland21117332171540
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2011452517837
6Middlesbrough21104735251034
7Watford2010462926334
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds218582630-429
10Swansea CitySwansea217682322127
11Bristol City216962626027
12Norwich CityNorwich216873632426
13Millwall206772018225
14Derby CountyDerby216692626024
15Coventry CityCoventry216692730-324
16Preston North EndPreston2141162127-623
17Stoke CityStoke215792328-522
18Queens Park RangersQPR2141072127-622
19Luton TownLuton2164112337-1422
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2046102133-1218
21Cardiff CityCardiff2046101932-1318
22Portsmouth193882134-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2045111942-2317
24Hull City2137111930-1116


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