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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 51.42%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 23.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.71%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.98%), while for a Bristol City win it was 0-1 (7.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Watford would win this match.
Result | ||
Watford | Draw | Bristol City |
51.42% ( 0.08) | 25.26% ( -0.02) | 23.32% ( -0.06) |
Both teams to score 49.32% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.85% ( 0.02) | 53.14% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.28% ( 0.01) | 74.72% ( -0.01) |
Watford Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.32% ( 0.04) | 20.68% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.73% ( 0.06) | 53.27% ( -0.06) |
Bristol City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.18% ( -0.04) | 37.82% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.41% ( -0.04) | 74.59% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Watford | Draw | Bristol City |
1-0 @ 12.32% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.71% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.45% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.1% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.96% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.41% 4-0 @ 2.01% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.96% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 2.54% Total : 51.41% | 1-1 @ 11.98% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.82% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.59% ( -0) Other @ 0.86% Total : 25.25% | 0-1 @ 7.6% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.83% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.7% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.89% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.49% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.62% Total : 23.32% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 30 | 11 | 19 | 45 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 37 | 15 | 22 | 42 |
3 | Burnley | 21 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 26 | 8 | 18 | 41 |
4 | Sunderland | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 40 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 37 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 25 | 10 | 34 |
7 | Watford | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 34 |
8 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 21 | 7 | 11 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 32 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 29 |
10 | Swansea CitySwansea | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 27 |
11 | Bristol City | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 27 |
12 | Norwich CityNorwich | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 36 | 32 | 4 | 26 |
13 | Millwall | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 25 |
14 | Derby CountyDerby | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 24 |
15 | Coventry CityCoventry | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 24 |
16 | Preston North EndPreston | 21 | 4 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 23 |
17 | Stoke CityStoke | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 22 |
18 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 21 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 22 |
19 | Luton TownLuton | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 22 |
20 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 18 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 18 |
22 | Portsmouth | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 17 |
23 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 42 | -23 | 17 |
24 | Hull City | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19 | 30 | -11 | 16 |
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