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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 51.42%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 23.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.71%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.98%), while for a Bristol City win it was 0-1 (7.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Watford would win this match.
Result | ||
Watford | Draw | Bristol City |
51.42% (![]() | 25.26% (![]() | 23.32% (![]() |
Both teams to score 49.32% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.85% (![]() | 53.14% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.28% (![]() | 74.72% (![]() |
Watford Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.32% (![]() | 20.68% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.73% (![]() | 53.27% (![]() |
Bristol City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.18% (![]() | 37.82% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.41% (![]() | 74.59% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Watford | Draw | Bristol City |
1-0 @ 12.32% (![]() 2-0 @ 9.71% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.45% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 5.1% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.96% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.41% 4-0 @ 2.01% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.96% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 0.95% ( ![]() Other @ 2.54% Total : 51.41% | 1-1 @ 11.98% (![]() 0-0 @ 7.82% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.59% ( ![]() Other @ 0.86% Total : 25.25% | 0-1 @ 7.6% (![]() 1-2 @ 5.83% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.7% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.89% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.49% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.2% ( ![]() Other @ 1.62% Total : 23.32% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |