MX23RW : Friday, April 25 04:42:47| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Oxford United
Championship | Gameweek 38
Mar 15, 2025 at 3pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
Watford logo

Oxford Utd
1 - 0
Watford

Dembele (82')
Placheta (67')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Sierralta (51'), Abankwah (67')
Abankwah (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Oxford United and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hull City 2-1 Oxford Utd
Wednesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 1-0 Swansea
Wednesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Oxford United 1-2 Watford

Oxford are at serious risk of relegation with their form, and they are unlikely to rectify the situation this weekend against a team in the hunt for promotion. That being said, Rowett was particularly angry with his players after last time out, so expect them to put in a stronger performance this time around to make Watford fight for the points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 37.36%. A win for Watford had a probability of 36.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.26%) and 2-0 (6.31%). The likeliest Watford win was 0-1 (9.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Oxford United in this match.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawWatford
37.36% (-0.19600000000001 -0.2) 26.17% (0.050999999999998 0.05) 36.47% (0.14299999999999 0.14)
Both teams to score 53.65% (-0.17299999999999 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.09% (-0.22199999999999 -0.22)50.91% (0.219 0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.21% (-0.197 -0.2)72.79% (0.194 0.19)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.5% (-0.217 -0.22)26.5% (0.214 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.31% (-0.285 -0.28)61.69% (0.282 0.28)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.99% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)27% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.64% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)62.36% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 37.36%
    Watford 36.47%
    Draw 26.17%
Oxford UnitedDrawWatford
1-0 @ 9.5% (0.026 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.26% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-0 @ 6.31% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.66% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-0 @ 2.79% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.39% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.22% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-0 @ 0.93% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 37.36%
1-1 @ 12.44% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 7.16% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.41% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.05% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.17%
0-1 @ 9.37% (0.077000000000002 0.08)
1-2 @ 8.14% (0.013 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.13% (0.047 0.05)
1-3 @ 3.55% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 2.68% (0.019 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.36% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.16%
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 36.47%

How you voted: Oxford Utd vs Watford

Oxford United
Draw
Watford
Oxford United
32.1%
Draw
10.7%
Watford
57.1%
28
Head to Head
Nov 8, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 15
Watford
1-0
Oxford Utd
Issouf Bayo (54')
Porteous (34'), Baah (38'), Ebosele (62'), Issouf Bayo (75'), Morris (90+3'), Cleverley (90+6')

McEachran (45+1'), Moore (75')
Sep 15, 2020 7pm
Second Round
Oxford Utd
1-1
Watford
(Aggregate 1-1 | Watford win 3-0 on penalties)
Hall (26')
Sema (89')
Navarro (72')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds442713489296094
2Burnley442616261154694
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd442771060352586
4Sunderland4421131058411776
5Bristol City441716115749867
6Coventry CityCoventry44199166257566
7Middlesbrough441891764541063
8Millwall441712154546-163
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn44188185046462
10West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom441418125244860
11Swansea CitySwansea44179184852-460
12Watford44168205158-756
13Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds441511185867-956
14Norwich CityNorwich441314176766153
15Queens Park RangersQPR441314175258-653
16Portsmouth441410205669-1352
17Stoke CityStoke441214184560-1550
18Preston North EndPreston441019154555-1049
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd441213194462-1849
20Hull City441212204352-948
21Derby CountyDerby441210224756-946
22Luton TownLuton441210224164-2346
23Cardiff CityCardiff44916194669-2343
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth441013214885-3743


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