Championship | Gameweek 36
Mar 8, 2025 at 12.30pm UK
Vicarage Road
Watford1 - 2Millwall
We said: Watford 2-0 Millwall
After winning two of their last three matches, Watford will be looking to collect three more points to aid their playoff bid, and we ultimately believe they will make full use of home advantage to see off Millwall in Saturday's home fixture. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 40.7%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 31.14% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.22%) and 2-0 (7.79%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (10.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Watford | Draw | Millwall |
40.7% ( -0.1) | 28.16% ( 0.02) | 31.14% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 46.51% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.53% ( -0.06) | 59.47% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.17% ( -0.05) | 79.83% ( 0.05) |
| Watford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.33% ( -0.09) | 28.66% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.52% ( -0.11) | 64.48% ( 0.11) |
| Millwall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.2% ( 0.02) | 34.79% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.47% ( 0.02) | 71.53% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
Watford 40.69%
Millwall 31.13%
Draw 28.15%
| Watford | Draw | Millwall |
| 1-0 @ 12.46% 2-1 @ 8.22% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.79% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.42% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.24% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.81% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.07% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.01% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.67% Total : 40.69% | 1-1 @ 13.15% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.97% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.34% ( -0)Other @ 0.69% Total : 28.15% | 0-1 @ 10.52% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.94% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.56% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.44% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.96% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.53% ( -0)Other @ 2.18% Total : 31.13% |
How you voted: Watford vs Millwall
Watford
60.0%Draw
17.8%Millwall
22.2%45
Head to Head
Aug 10, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 1
Millwall
2-3
Watford
Dec 26, 2022 12pm
Oct 19, 2022 8pm
