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Championship | Gameweek 36
Mar 8, 2025 at 12.30pm UK
Vicarage Road
Millwall logo

Watford
1 - 2
Millwall

Pollock (30')
FT(HT: 1-0)
De Norre (59'), Coburn (81')
Cundle (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Watford and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stoke 0-0 Watford
Saturday, March 1 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 0-2 Bristol City
Tuesday, March 4 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Watford 2-0 Millwall

After winning two of their last three matches, Watford will be looking to collect three more points to aid their playoff bid, and we ultimately believe they will make full use of home advantage to see off Millwall in Saturday's home fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 40.7%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 31.14% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.22%) and 2-0 (7.79%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (10.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result
WatfordDrawMillwall
40.7% (-0.101 -0.1) 28.16% (0.024000000000001 0.02) 31.14% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Both teams to score 46.51% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.53% (-0.064 -0.06)59.47% (0.064 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.17% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)79.83% (0.049000000000007 0.05)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.33% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)28.66% (0.087999999999997 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.52% (-0.111 -0.11)64.48% (0.11 0.11)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.2% (0.022999999999996 0.02)34.79% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.47% (0.024000000000001 0.02)71.53% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Watford 40.69%
    Millwall 31.13%
    Draw 28.15%
WatfordDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 12.46%
2-1 @ 8.22% (-0.014999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.79% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.42% (-0.015 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.24% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.81% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.07% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.01% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 40.69%
1-1 @ 13.15% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.97% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.34% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 28.15%
0-1 @ 10.52% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 6.94% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.56% (0.02 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.44% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 1.96% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.53% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 31.13%

How you voted: Watford vs Millwall

Watford
60.0%
Draw
17.8%
Millwall
22.2%
45
Head to Head
Aug 10, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 1
Millwall
2-3
Watford
Watmore (74', 88')
Leonard (55'), Kayembe (86')
Kayembe (22'), Chakvetadze (55'), Rajovic (90')
Sierralta (7'), Bryan (87'), Rajovic (90+1')
Mar 2, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 35
Millwall
1-0
Watford
Flemming (3')
McNamara (45'), Leonard (75'), Flemming (90+1')

Kayembe (1')
Oct 28, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 14
Watford
2-2
Millwall
Asprilla (7'), Rajovic (90+2')
Livermore (37'), Asprilla (50'), Sema (79')
Flemming (12'), Harding (85')
Flemming (27'), Saville (38'), Norton-Cuffy (90+3')
Dec 26, 2022 12pm
Gameweek 24
Watford
0-2
Millwall
Voglsammer (22'), Flemming (83')
Oct 19, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 16
Millwall
3-0
Watford
Bradshaw (8', 26', 33')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds362210472234976
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd36246651272476
3Burnley362014249103974
4Sunderland361911654332168
5Coventry CityCoventry36168125246656
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom361316746321455
7Bristol City36131494639753
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn36157144137452
9Middlesbrough36148145547850
10Norwich CityNorwich361213115749849
11Watford36147154650-449
12Millwall361212123637-148
13Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds36139145056-648
14Queens Park RangersQPR361111144146-544
15Swansea CitySwansea36128163846-844
16Preston North EndPreston36916113642-643
17Portsmouth36119164457-1342
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd36912153753-1639
19Hull City36910173645-937
20Stoke CityStoke36812163650-1436
21Cardiff CityCardiff36812163959-2036
22Derby CountyDerby3688203549-1432
23Luton TownLuton3687213259-2731
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth36612183673-3730


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