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Championship
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Championship | Gameweek 8
Oct 1, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Turf Moor
Plymouth Argyle

Burnley
1 - 0
Plymouth

Brownhill (26' pen.)
Egan Riley (33')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Burnley and Plymouth Argyle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Burnley

All competitions
Championship
Last Game: Oxford Utd 0-0 Burnley
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in Championship

Plymouth Argyle

All competitions
Championship
Last Game: Plymouth 3-1 Luton
Friday, September 27 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Burnley 1-1 Plymouth Argyle

 Burnley have not replicated their toothless away-day displays at Turf Moor, but Plymouth have also not been able to buy a win away from home in recent months and have failed to score in each of their last four losses on rival turf. However, the visitors are evidently growing in confidence under Rooney and have our backing to take a hard-earned point away from Lancashire. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 58.15%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 20.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.38%) and 2-0 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.08%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 1-2 (5.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.

Result
BurnleyDrawPlymouth Argyle
58.15% (-0.726 -0.73) 21.61% (0.173 0.17) 20.23% (0.555 0.56)
Both teams to score 56.67% (0.341 0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.66% (0.014000000000003 0.01)41.33% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.27% (0.013000000000005 0.01)63.73% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.04% (-0.221 -0.22)13.95% (0.219 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.57% (-0.434 -0.43)41.43% (0.434 0.43)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.85% (0.565 0.56)34.14% (-0.564 -0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.16% (0.602 0.6)70.83% (-0.602 -0.6)
Score Analysis
    Burnley 58.15%
    Plymouth Argyle 20.23%
    Draw 21.61%
BurnleyDrawPlymouth Argyle
2-1 @ 9.93% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-0 @ 9.38% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-0 @ 9.24% (-0.155 -0.16)
3-1 @ 6.52% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-0 @ 6.07% (-0.151 -0.15)
3-2 @ 3.5% (0.022 0.02)
4-1 @ 3.21% (-0.056 -0.06)
4-0 @ 2.99% (-0.099 -0.1)
4-2 @ 1.73% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
5-1 @ 1.27% (-0.032 -0.03)
5-0 @ 1.18% (-0.048 -0.05)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 58.15%
1-1 @ 10.08% (0.07 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.34% (0.075 0.08)
0-0 @ 4.76% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.26% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 21.61%
1-2 @ 5.42% (0.119 0.12)
0-1 @ 5.12% (0.075 0.08)
0-2 @ 2.75% (0.082 0.08)
1-3 @ 1.94% (0.072 0.07)
2-3 @ 1.91% (0.055 0.05)
0-3 @ 0.99% (0.044 0.04)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 20.23%

How you voted: Burnley vs Plymouth

Burnley
70.4%
Draw
16.0%
Plymouth Argyle
13.6%
125
Head to Head
Aug 28, 2012 7.45pm
Round Two
Burnley
1-1
Plymouth
Austin
Williams
Mar 21, 2009 3pm
Plymouth
1-2
Burnley
Judge (17')
Caldwell (16'), Blake (78')
Williams (71')
Aug 30, 2008 3pm
Burnley
0-0
Plymouth
Eagles (57')
Eagles (83')
Gallagher (59')
Feb 23, 2008 3pm
Plymouth
3-1
Burnley
Halmosi (35', 76'), Nalis (12')
Sawyer (45'), Anderson (45'), MacLean (55')
O'Connor (19')
Harley (15'), Elliott (78')
Jan 12, 2008 3pm
Burnley
1-0
Plymouth
Blake (66')
Varga (45')

Connolly (41')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310
> Championship Full Table


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