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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 47.63%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 28.74% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.47%) and 0-2 (7.3%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 2-1 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Sunderland |
28.74% ( 0.01) | 23.63% ( 0.01) | 47.63% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 59.54% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.98% ( -0.02) | 42.03% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.57% ( -0.02) | 64.43% ( 0.03) |
Plymouth Argyle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.47% | 27.53% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.96% ( -0) | 63.04% ( 0.01) |
Sunderland Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.15% ( -0.01) | 17.85% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.4% ( -0.03) | 48.61% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Sunderland |
2-1 @ 7.04% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.34% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 4.09% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.03% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.61% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.76% ( 0) 4-1 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.9% Total : 28.74% | 1-1 @ 10.92% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.07% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.91% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.5% ( -0) Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.63% | 1-2 @ 9.41% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.47% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 7.3% 1-3 @ 5.41% ( -0) 0-3 @ 4.19% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.49% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.33% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.81% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.5% ( -0) Other @ 3.73% Total : 47.63% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 31 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 31 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
4 | Burnley | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 27 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Watford | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 25 |
7 | Middlesbrough | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 24 |
8 | Millwall | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 23 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 22 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
12 | Derby CountyDerby | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 19 |
13 | Stoke CityStoke | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 19 |
14 | Norwich CityNorwich | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 18 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 18 |
16 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 17 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 16 |
18 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 16 |
19 | Hull City | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 15 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 15 |
21 | Luton TownLuton | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 15 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 10 |
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