Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 50.49%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 25.48% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.62%) and 0-2 (8.49%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Stoke City in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Stoke City.