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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 50.49%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 25.48% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.62%) and 0-2 (8.49%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Stoke City in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Stoke City.
Result | ||
Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Stoke City |
25.48% ( 0.05) | 24.03% ( 0.05) | 50.49% ( -0.09) |
Both teams to score 55.37% ( -0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.75% ( -0.16) | 46.25% ( 0.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.45% ( -0.16) | 68.54% ( 0.15) |
Plymouth Argyle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.82% ( -0.05) | 32.17% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.34% ( -0.06) | 68.65% ( 0.05) |
Stoke City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.64% ( -0.1) | 18.35% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.52% ( -0.17) | 49.47% ( 0.16) |
Score Analysis |
Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Stoke City |
1-0 @ 6.7% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 6.44% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 3.8% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 2.43% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.06% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.44% ( 0) Other @ 2.61% Total : 25.48% | 1-1 @ 11.35% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.91% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.46% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.03% | 0-1 @ 10.01% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 9.62% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 8.49% ( 0) 1-3 @ 5.44% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 4.8% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.08% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 2.31% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 2.03% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.31% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.41% Total : 50.48% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 30 | 11 | 19 | 45 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 37 | 15 | 22 | 42 |
3 | Burnley | 21 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 26 | 8 | 18 | 41 |
4 | Sunderland | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 40 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 37 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 25 | 10 | 34 |
7 | Watford | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 34 |
8 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 21 | 7 | 11 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 32 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 29 |
10 | Swansea CitySwansea | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 27 |
11 | Bristol City | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 27 |
12 | Norwich CityNorwich | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 36 | 32 | 4 | 26 |
13 | Millwall | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 25 |
14 | Derby CountyDerby | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 24 |
15 | Coventry CityCoventry | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 24 |
16 | Preston North EndPreston | 21 | 4 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 23 |
17 | Stoke CityStoke | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 22 |
18 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 21 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 22 |
19 | Luton TownLuton | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 22 |
20 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 18 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 18 |
22 | Portsmouth | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 17 |
23 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 42 | -23 | 17 |
24 | Hull City | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19 | 30 | -11 | 16 |
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