We said: Oxford United 1-2 Burnley
With a perfect record at home, Oxford will fancy their chances of adding more points to their tally from this contest. However, we have to back the visitors, even if they have to work harder than perhaps anticipated to overcome the division newcomers.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 50.61%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 25% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (8.8%). The likeliest Burnley win was 0-1 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.