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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 50.61%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 25% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (8.8%). The likeliest Burnley win was 0-1 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Oxford United | Draw | Burnley |
50.61% ( -0.01) | 24.39% ( 0.03) | 25% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 53.76% ( -0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.83% ( -0.15) | 48.17% ( 0.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.67% ( -0.14) | 70.33% ( 0.14) |
Oxford United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.96% ( -0.06) | 19.05% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.37% ( -0.1) | 50.64% ( 0.11) |
Burnley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.4% ( -0.09) | 33.6% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.76% ( -0.11) | 70.25% ( 0.11) |
Score Analysis |
Oxford United | Draw | Burnley |
1-0 @ 10.61% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.6% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.8% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.3% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.86% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.89% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.2% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.02% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.2% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.13% Total : 50.61% | 1-1 @ 11.57% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.4% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.23% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.38% | 0-1 @ 6.98% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.31% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.81% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.38% ( -0) Other @ 2.32% Total : 25% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 22 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 32 | 11 | 21 | 48 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 41 | 15 | 26 | 45 |
3 | Burnley | 22 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 44 |
4 | Sunderland | 22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 43 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 37 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 38 | 28 | 10 | 35 |
7 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 22 | 8 | 11 | 3 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 35 |
8 | Watford | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 34 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 32 |
10 | Millwall | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 28 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 27 |
12 | Bristol City | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 26 | 28 | -2 | 27 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 26 |
14 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 22 | 5 | 10 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 25 |
15 | Luton TownLuton | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 25 |
16 | Derby CountyDerby | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 24 |
18 | Preston North EndPreston | 22 | 4 | 11 | 7 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 23 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 22 |
20 | Portsmouth | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 20 |
21 | Hull City | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 19 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 18 |
23 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 18 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 22 | 45 | -23 | 18 |
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