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Championship | Gameweek 7
Aug 31, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
Swansea logo

Stoke
1 - 1
Swansea

Campbell (90+1')
Taylor (59')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Piroe (6')
Sorinola (78'), Naughton (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Stoke City 2-0 Swansea City

Stoke City will feel rejuvenated after the weekend's win, and the introduction of Neil should provide a further boost in the camp as a new manager so often does. The Scotsman will see Wednesday's game as a good opportunity to start on the front foot against a struggling Swansea side, and we back them to take all three points in relatively comfortable fashion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 44.34%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 28.93% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (8.24%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 0-1 (9.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.

Result
Stoke CityDrawSwansea City
44.34% (-0.121 -0.12) 26.72% (0.082999999999998 0.08) 28.93% (0.040000000000003 0.04)
Both teams to score 49.65% (-0.223 -0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45% (-0.299 -0.3)55% (0.301 0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.73% (-0.248 -0.25)76.27% (0.25 0.25)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.33% (-0.193 -0.19)24.67% (0.195 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.8% (-0.272 -0.27)59.2% (0.274 0.27)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.91% (-0.126 -0.13)34.09% (0.128 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.22% (-0.139 -0.14)70.78% (0.142 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 44.34%
    Swansea City 28.93%
    Draw 26.72%
Stoke CityDrawSwansea City
1-0 @ 11.76% (0.07 0.07)
2-1 @ 8.87% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 8.24% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 4.14% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.84% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.23% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.45% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.35% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 44.34%
1-1 @ 12.66% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 8.41% (0.098000000000001 0.1)
2-2 @ 4.77% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 26.72%
0-1 @ 9.05% (0.074 0.07)
1-2 @ 6.82% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.87% (0.023 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.45% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.75% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.71% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 28.93%

How you voted: Stoke vs Swansea

Stoke City
75.6%
Draw
13.4%
Swansea City
11.0%
82
Head to Head
Feb 8, 2022 7.45pm
Stoke
3-0
Swansea
Philogene-Bidace (47'), Baker (59' pen.), Brown (78')
Wilmot (45'), Brown (85')

Christie (26'), Grimes (29'), Ntcham (31'), Wolf (85')
Bennett (58')
Aug 17, 2021 7.45pm
Swansea
1-3
Stoke
Piroe (73')
Powell (15'), Clucas (53'), Skiri Oestigaard (60')
Clucas (53'), Tymon (81')
Mar 3, 2021 8.15pm
Stoke
1-2
Swansea
Powell (6')
Roberts (19'), Ayew (90+5' pen.)
Manning (71')
Oct 27, 2020 7.45pm
Swansea
2-0
Stoke
Fulton (30'), Palmer (87')
Grimes (53'), Palmer (85')

Smith (51'), McClean (84'), Gunn (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Buccaneers
@
Chiefs
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland139222391429
2Leeds UnitedLeeds137512281426
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd138321661025
4Burnley136521761123
5Watford137152221122
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom13562148621
7Millwall135441612419
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn135441614219
9Bristol City134721717019
10Norwich CityNorwich134632318518
11Middlesbrough135351415-118
12Swansea CitySwansea13445109116
13Coventry CityCoventry134361717015
14Derby CountyDerby134361617-115
15Hull City133641517-215
16Stoke CityStoke134361518-315
17Cardiff CityCardiff134361319-615
18Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds134361524-915
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd133551617-114
20Preston North EndPreston133551420-614
21Luton TownLuton133371521-612
22Plymouth ArgylePlymouth133371325-1212
23Queens Park RangersQPR131751119-810
24Portsmouth131661326-139


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