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Championship | Gameweek 7
Aug 31, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
Swansea logo

Stoke
1 - 1
Swansea

Campbell (90+1')
Taylor (59')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Piroe (6')
Sorinola (78'), Naughton (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Stoke City 2-0 Swansea City

Stoke City will feel rejuvenated after the weekend's win, and the introduction of Neil should provide a further boost in the camp as a new manager so often does. The Scotsman will see Wednesday's game as a good opportunity to start on the front foot against a struggling Swansea side, and we back them to take all three points in relatively comfortable fashion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 44.34%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 28.93% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (8.24%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 0-1 (9.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.

Result
Stoke CityDrawSwansea City
44.34% (-0.121 -0.12) 26.72% (0.082999999999998 0.08) 28.93% (0.040000000000003 0.04)
Both teams to score 49.65% (-0.223 -0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45% (-0.299 -0.3)55% (0.301 0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.73% (-0.248 -0.25)76.27% (0.25 0.25)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.33% (-0.193 -0.19)24.67% (0.195 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.8% (-0.272 -0.27)59.2% (0.274 0.27)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.91% (-0.126 -0.13)34.09% (0.128 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.22% (-0.139 -0.14)70.78% (0.142 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 44.34%
    Swansea City 28.93%
    Draw 26.72%
Stoke CityDrawSwansea City
1-0 @ 11.76% (0.07 0.07)
2-1 @ 8.87% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 8.24% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 4.14% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.84% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.23% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.45% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.35% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 44.34%
1-1 @ 12.66% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 8.41% (0.098000000000001 0.1)
2-2 @ 4.77% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 26.72%
0-1 @ 9.05% (0.074 0.07)
1-2 @ 6.82% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.87% (0.023 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.45% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.75% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.71% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 28.93%

How you voted: Stoke vs Swansea

Stoke City
75.6%
Draw
13.4%
Swansea City
11.0%
82
Head to Head
Feb 8, 2022 7.45pm
Stoke
3-0
Swansea
Philogene-Bidace (47'), Baker (59' pen.), Brown (78')
Wilmot (45'), Brown (85')

Christie (26'), Grimes (29'), Ntcham (31'), Wolf (85')
Bennett (58')
Aug 17, 2021 7.45pm
Swansea
1-3
Stoke
Piroe (73')
Powell (15'), Clucas (53'), Skiri Oestigaard (60')
Clucas (53'), Tymon (81')
Mar 3, 2021 8.15pm
Stoke
1-2
Swansea
Powell (6')
Roberts (19'), Ayew (90+5' pen.)
Manning (71')
Oct 27, 2020 7.45pm
Swansea
2-0
Stoke
Fulton (30'), Palmer (87')
Grimes (53'), Palmer (85')

Smith (51'), McClean (84'), Gunn (87')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Friday, July 5
 
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Spain
vs.
Germany
 
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Portugal
vs.
France
Saturday, July 6
 
5pm
Tuesday, July 9
Wednesday, July 10
Sunday, July 14
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain33009
Q Italy Italy31114
3 Croatia Croatia30212
4 Albania national flag Albania30121

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
Q England flag England31205
Q Denmark Denmark30303
Q Slovenia Slovenia30303
4 Serbia Serbia30212

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Austria Austria32016
Q France France31205
Q Netherlands Netherlands31114
4 Poland Poland30121

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Romania Romania31114
Q Belgium Belgium31114
Q Slovakia Slovakia31114
4 Ukraine Ukraine31114

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal32016
Q Turkey Turkey32016
Q Georgia Georgia31114
4 Czech Republic Czech Republic30121


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