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Championship | Gameweek 7
Aug 31, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
Swansea logo

Stoke
1 - 1
Swansea

Campbell (90+1')
Taylor (59')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Piroe (6')
Sorinola (78'), Naughton (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Stoke City 2-0 Swansea City

Stoke City will feel rejuvenated after the weekend's win, and the introduction of Neil should provide a further boost in the camp as a new manager so often does. The Scotsman will see Wednesday's game as a good opportunity to start on the front foot against a struggling Swansea side, and we back them to take all three points in relatively comfortable fashion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 44.34%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 28.93% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (8.24%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 0-1 (9.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.

Result
Stoke CityDrawSwansea City
44.34% (-0.121 -0.12) 26.72% (0.082999999999998 0.08) 28.93% (0.040000000000003 0.04)
Both teams to score 49.65% (-0.223 -0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45% (-0.299 -0.3)55% (0.301 0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.73% (-0.248 -0.25)76.27% (0.25 0.25)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.33% (-0.193 -0.19)24.67% (0.195 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.8% (-0.272 -0.27)59.2% (0.274 0.27)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.91% (-0.126 -0.13)34.09% (0.128 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.22% (-0.139 -0.14)70.78% (0.142 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 44.34%
    Swansea City 28.93%
    Draw 26.72%
Stoke CityDrawSwansea City
1-0 @ 11.76% (0.07 0.07)
2-1 @ 8.87% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 8.24% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 4.14% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.84% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.23% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.45% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.35% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 44.34%
1-1 @ 12.66% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 8.41% (0.098000000000001 0.1)
2-2 @ 4.77% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 26.72%
0-1 @ 9.05% (0.074 0.07)
1-2 @ 6.82% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.87% (0.023 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.45% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.75% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.71% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 28.93%

How you voted: Stoke vs Swansea

Stoke City
75.6%
Draw
13.4%
Swansea City
11.0%
82
Head to Head
Feb 8, 2022 7.45pm
Stoke
3-0
Swansea
Philogene-Bidace (47'), Baker (59' pen.), Brown (78')
Wilmot (45'), Brown (85')

Christie (26'), Grimes (29'), Ntcham (31'), Wolf (85')
Bennett (58')
Aug 17, 2021 7.45pm
Swansea
1-3
Stoke
Piroe (73')
Powell (15'), Clucas (53'), Skiri Oestigaard (60')
Clucas (53'), Tymon (81')
Mar 3, 2021 8.15pm
Stoke
1-2
Swansea
Powell (6')
Roberts (19'), Ayew (90+5' pen.)
Manning (71')
Oct 27, 2020 7.45pm
Swansea
2-0
Stoke
Fulton (30'), Palmer (87')
Grimes (53'), Palmer (85')

Smith (51'), McClean (84'), Gunn (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds362210472234976
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd36246651272476
3Burnley362014249103974
4Sunderland361911654332168
5Coventry CityCoventry36168125246656
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom361316746321455
7Bristol City36131494639753
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn36157144137452
9Middlesbrough36148145547850
10Norwich CityNorwich361213115749849
11Watford36147154650-449
12Millwall361212123637-148
13Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds36139145056-648
14Queens Park RangersQPR361111144146-544
15Swansea CitySwansea36128163846-844
16Preston North EndPreston36916113642-643
17Portsmouth36119164457-1342
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd36912153753-1639
19Hull City36910173645-937
20Stoke CityStoke36812163650-1436
21Cardiff CityCardiff36812163959-2036
22Derby CountyDerby3688203549-1432
23Luton TownLuton3687213259-2731
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth36612183673-3730


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