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Championship | Gameweek 9
Oct 5, 2024 at 3pm UK
Swansea.com Stadium
Stoke logo

Swansea
0 - 0
Stoke

FT

Burger (14'), Moran (63'), Wilmot (90+8'), Gibson (90+10')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sheff Utd 1-0 Swansea
Wednesday, October 2 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 6-1 Portsmouth
Wednesday, October 2 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Swansea City 1-2 Stoke City

Backing up a six-goal showing in midweek is likely to be difficult for Stoke, particularly with Pelach still attempting to prove himself. Nevertheless, the superior firepower of the visitors could see them edge this contest by the odd goal in three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 47.73%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 27.35% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (8.23%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
Swansea CityDrawStoke City
47.73% (0.102 0.1) 24.92% (-0.047999999999998 -0.05) 27.35% (-0.055 -0.05)
Both teams to score 54.16% (0.113 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.37% (0.17 0.17)48.63% (-0.172 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.25% (0.155 0.16)70.75% (-0.15599999999999 -0.16)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.59% (0.11099999999999 0.11)20.41% (-0.112 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.15% (0.179 0.18)52.85% (-0.18 -0.18)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.05% (0.046999999999997 0.05)31.95% (-0.047999999999998 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.59% (0.055 0.05)68.4% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 47.73%
    Stoke City 27.35%
    Draw 24.91%
Swansea CityDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 10.36% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.4% (0.012 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.23% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 4.98% (0.023 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.36% (0.015 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.84% (0.017 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.98% (0.016 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.73% (0.011 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.13% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 47.73%
1-1 @ 11.82% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 6.52% (-0.045 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.36% (0.014 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.08% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.91%
0-1 @ 7.44% (-0.043 -0.04)
1-2 @ 6.75% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.25% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.57% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.04% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.62% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 27.35%

How you voted: Swansea vs Stoke

Swansea City
45.1%
Draw
21.6%
Stoke City
33.3%
51
Head to Head
Apr 10, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 42
Swansea
3-0
Stoke
Cullen (19'), Grimes (53' pen.), Key (73')
Paterson (43'), Darling (61'), Cullen (67')

Stevens (38'), Manhoef (61'), Thompson (90')
Dec 12, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 21
Stoke
1-1
Swansea
Johnson (70' pen.)
Laurent (38'), Gooch (42'), Pearson (82')
Darling (89')
Cabango (41'), Bolasie (84')
Feb 21, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Swansea
1-3
Stoke
Laurent (15', 20'), Baker (90+4')
Aug 31, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Stoke
1-1
Swansea
Campbell (90+1')
Piroe (6')
Feb 8, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 31
Stoke
3-0
Swansea
Philogene-Bidace (47'), Baker (59' pen.), Brown (78')
Wilmot (45'), Brown (85')

Christie (26'), Grimes (29'), Ntcham (31'), Wolf (85')
Bennett (58')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds362210472234976
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd36246651272476
3Burnley362014249103974
4Sunderland361911654332168
5Coventry CityCoventry36168125246656
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom361316746321455
7Bristol City36131494639753
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn36157144137452
9Middlesbrough36148145547850
10Norwich CityNorwich361213115749849
11Watford36147154650-449
12Millwall361212123637-148
13Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds36139145056-648
14Queens Park RangersQPR361111144146-544
15Swansea CitySwansea36128163846-844
16Preston North EndPreston36916113642-643
17Portsmouth36119164457-1342
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd36912153753-1639
19Hull City36910173645-937
20Stoke CityStoke36812163650-1436
21Cardiff CityCardiff36812163959-2036
22Derby CountyDerby3688203549-1432
23Luton TownLuton3687213259-2731
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth36612183673-3730


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