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Championship | Gameweek 28
Jan 21, 2023 at 3pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Millwall logo

Cardiff
0 - 1
Millwall


Rinomhota (38'), Allsop (62'), Kipre (72')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Bradshaw (26')
Bradshaw (20'), Cooper (28'), Styles (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leeds 5-2 Cardiff
Wednesday, January 18 at 7.45pm in FA Cup

We said: Cardiff City 1-1 Millwall

Cardiff are in danger of slipping into the relegation zone in the Championship while they scramble to appoint a new manager, with the Welsh side needing to find a way to earn three points on Saturday. Millwall have faltered on the road this season so will be not expecting to breeze past a struggling Cardiff side, meaning a share of the spoils is likely this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 43.44%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 29.43% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (9.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.

Result
Cardiff CityDrawMillwall
43.44% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01) 27.13% (0.0020000000000024 0) 29.43% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Both teams to score 48.72% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.68% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)56.32% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.65% (-0.004999999999999 -0)77.35% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.28% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)25.72% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.36% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)60.64% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.59% (0.0030000000000001 0)34.41% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.88% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)71.12% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 43.43%
    Millwall 29.43%
    Draw 27.13%
Cardiff CityDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 12.01%
2-1 @ 8.71% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 8.16% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 3.94% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-0 @ 3.69% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.1% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 1.34% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.25% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 43.43%
1-1 @ 12.82% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.85% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 4.64% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 27.13%
0-1 @ 9.44% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 6.84% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 5.04% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 2.43% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.79% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.65%
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 29.43%

How you voted: Cardiff vs Millwall

Cardiff City
34.6%
Draw
34.6%
Millwall
30.8%
52
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Millwall
2-0
Cardiff
Cresswell (63'), Afobe (90')
Styles (76'), Wallace (88')

Kipre (46'), Romeo (53')
Feb 12, 2022 3pm
Aug 21, 2021 3pm
Cardiff
3-1
Millwall
Flint (66', 70'), Morrison (83')
Flint (51'), Nelson (86')
Afobe (76')
Cooper (65')
Jan 30, 2021 3pm
Cardiff
1-1
Millwall
Moore (71')
Bennett (69'), Vaulks (76'), Morrison (84')
Flint (9' og.)
Nov 21, 2020 3pm
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Monday, July 1
 
5pm
 
8pm
Tuesday, July 2
 
8pm
Friday, July 5
 
5pm
Saturday, July 6
Tuesday, July 9
Wednesday, July 10
Sunday, July 14
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain33009
Q Italy Italy31114
3 Croatia Croatia30212
4 Albania national flag Albania30121

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
Q England flag England31205
Q Denmark Denmark30303
Q Slovenia Slovenia30303
4 Serbia Serbia30212

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Austria Austria32016
Q France France31205
Q Netherlands Netherlands31114
4 Poland Poland30121

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Romania Romania31114
Q Belgium Belgium31114
Q Slovakia Slovakia31114
4 Ukraine Ukraine31114

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal32016
Q Turkey Turkey32016
Q Georgia Georgia31114
4 Czech Republic Czech Republic30121


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