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Championship | Gameweek 39
Apr 1, 2023 at 3pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Blackburn logo

Birmingham
1 - 0
Blackburn

Khadra (61')
Trusty (45+2'), Bacuna (89'), Bellingham (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Dolan (45+2'), Travis (53'), Morton (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Birmingham City and Blackburn Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: QPR 0-1 Birmingham
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Birmingham City 1-2 Blackburn Rovers

Birmingham are a result away from almost-certain Championship safety, but it is seldom the way of Blues to get their survival business done early in the second tier. Blackburn are on the home straight in their quest for a top-six finish, and we believe they will bounce back from their defeat in the FA Cup with a maximum at St Andrew's on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 37.41%. A win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 34.47% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.89%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Blackburn Rovers win was 0-1 (11.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Birmingham City in this match.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawBlackburn Rovers
37.41% (0.012 0.01) 28.12% (0.0040000000000013 0) 34.47% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 47.37% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.26% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)58.74% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.73% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)79.27% (0.012 0.01)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.77% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)30.23%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.6% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)66.4% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.9% (-0.02000000000001 -0.02)32.1% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.43% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)68.57% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 37.4%
    Blackburn Rovers 34.46%
    Draw 28.12%
Birmingham CityDrawBlackburn Rovers
1-0 @ 11.6%
2-1 @ 7.89%
2-0 @ 6.94% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 3.15%
3-0 @ 2.77% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-2 @ 1.79%
4-1 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 37.4%
1-1 @ 13.19%
0-0 @ 9.7% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.48% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 28.12%
0-1 @ 11.02%
1-2 @ 7.5% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-2 @ 6.27% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 2.84% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 2.37% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
2-3 @ 1.7% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 34.46%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Blackburn

Birmingham City
Draw
Blackburn Rovers
Birmingham City
19.4%
Draw
12.9%
Blackburn Rovers
67.7%
31
Head to Head
Jan 31, 2023 7.45pm
Fourth Round Replays
Birmingham
0-1
Blackburn

Chong (90+3'), James (120+2')
Trusty (100' og.)
Buckley (98'), Brereton Diaz (107'), Travis (114')
Jan 28, 2023 3pm
Fourth Round
Blackburn
2-2
Birmingham
Dack (33'), Rankin-Costello (46')
Rankin-Costello (22'), Morton (69'), Wharton (80'), Brereton Diaz (86')
Khadra (3')
Chong (40')
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
May 7, 2022 12.30pm
Dec 18, 2021 3pm
Blackburn
4-0
Birmingham
Buckley (6'), Khadra (52'), Brereton Diaz (60' pen., 79')
Buckley (41')

Sunjic (43')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds422513482295388
2Burnley422416257134488
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd42267957332483
4Sunderland422113857381976
5Bristol City421616105445964
6Coventry CityCoventry41188155853562
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4214181051391260
8Middlesbrough421791661511060
9Millwall421612144141060
10Blackburn RoversBlackburn42168184545056
11Watford42168185055-556
12Swansea CitySwansea42159184551-654
13Norwich CityNorwich421314156358553
14Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds421411175664-853
15Queens Park RangersQPR421214164955-650
16Preston North EndPreston421019134351-849
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd421212184360-1748
18Stoke CityStoke421114174354-1147
19Portsmouth421210205066-1646
20Hull City411111194049-944
21Derby CountyDerby421110214454-1043
22Cardiff CityCardiff42915184566-2142
23Luton TownLuton421010223763-2640
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth42913204482-3840


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