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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 36.7%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 36.6% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.1%) and 2-0 (6.36%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 0-1 (9.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Coventry City would win this match.
Result | ||
Coventry City | Draw | Sunderland |
36.7% ( -0.38) | 26.71% ( -0.09) | 36.6% ( 0.48) |
Both teams to score 51.88% ( 0.32) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.84% ( 0.39) | 53.16% ( -0.39) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.27% ( 0.33) | 74.73% ( -0.33) |
Coventry City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.06% ( -0.04) | 27.94% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.43% ( -0.05) | 63.57% ( 0.05) |
Sunderland Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.99% ( 0.48) | 28.01% ( -0.47) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.35% ( 0.6) | 63.65% ( -0.6) |
Score Analysis |
Coventry City | Draw | Sunderland |
1-0 @ 9.98% ( -0.16) 2-1 @ 8.1% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 6.36% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 3.44% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.7% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.19% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.1% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.84% Total : 36.7% | 1-1 @ 12.69% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 7.83% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 5.15% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.7% | 0-1 @ 9.96% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.08% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 6.34% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 3.43% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 2.69% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 1.09% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.82% Total : 36.6% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 31 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 31 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
4 | Burnley | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 27 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Watford | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 25 |
7 | Middlesbrough | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 24 |
8 | Millwall | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 23 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 22 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
12 | Derby CountyDerby | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 19 |
13 | Stoke CityStoke | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 19 |
14 | Norwich CityNorwich | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 18 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 18 |
16 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 17 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 16 |
18 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 16 |
19 | Hull City | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 15 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 15 |
21 | Luton TownLuton | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 15 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 10 |
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