Championship

Championship | Gameweek 44

Apr 22, 2024 at 8pm UK

Riverside Stadium

Middlesbrough
3 - 4
Leeds

Jones (7'), Latte Lath (30', 87')
Latte Lath (35'), Jones (78'), Howson (80')

FT(HT: 2-3)

Summerville (14' pen., 61'), Bamford (18'), Gnonto (39')
Bamford (45+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Middlesbrough

All competitions

Last Game: Ipswich 1-1 Middlesbrough
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Leeds United

All competitions

Last Game: Leeds 0-1 Blackburn
Saturday, April 13 at 12.30pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Middlesbrough 1-1 Leeds United

Middlesbrough's brilliant defensive exploits at home spells danger for a Leeds side who have just lost their way a tad in recent weeks, and Carrick's men have performed admirably in the face of injury-related adversity. There should be no let-up from the hosts while the playoffs remain a mathematical possibility - albeit a highly slim one - but the win they require to keep those hopes alive may elude them. Still, Boro should back themselves to take a point from an ailing Leeds as the Whites miss the chance to rise above the automatic line. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 43.63%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 32.44% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.92%) and 0-2 (6.51%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 2-1 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
Middlesbrough	Draw	Leeds United
32.44% ( -0.03)	23.93% ( 0)	43.63% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 60.58% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.44% (

-0.02)

41.56% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.04% (

-0.03)

63.97% (

0.03)

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.06% (

-0.03)

24.94% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.43% (

-0.04)

59.57% (

0.05)

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.7% (

19.3% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.95% (

51.05% (

Score Analysis

Middlesbrough 32.44%

Leeds United 43.63%

Draw 23.93%

Middlesbrough	Draw	Leeds United
2-1 @ 7.64% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.68% ( 0) 2-0 @ 4.64% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.54% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.91% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.15% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.23% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.01% ( -0) Other @ 2.65% Total : 32.44%	1-1 @ 10.99% 2-2 @ 6.28% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.81% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.59% ( -0) Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.93%	1-2 @ 9.05% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.92% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.51% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.96% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.57% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.44% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.04% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.47% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.42% ( -0) Other @ 3.25% Total : 43.63%