Championship | Gameweek 27
Jan 18, 2025 at 3pm UK
Pride Park Stadium
Derby0 - 2Watford
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Leyton Orient 1-1 Derby (6-5 pen.)
Tuesday, January 14 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
Tuesday, January 14 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
Goals
for
for
31
We said: Derby County 2-2 Watford
On paper, Watford should be the stronger side, having picked up 11 more points than the Rams, but they have struggled to produce their best form on the road this season, and with that in mind, we think that they will be held to a draw in Saturday's meeting at Pride Park. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 50.86%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Watford had a probability of 24.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 2-0 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.7%), while for a Watford win it was 0-1 (7.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Derby County | Draw | Watford |
50.86% ( 0.03) | 24.61% ( -0.19) | 24.53% ( 0.17) |
| Both teams to score 52.55% ( 0.77) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
