MX23RW : Tuesday, December 17 22:35:35| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Championship | Gameweek 29
Feb 21, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The Den
Burnley logo

Millwall
1 - 1
Burnley

Bradshaw (85')
Bradshaw (77')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Barnes (51')
Al Dakhil (26')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Millwall and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Millwall 3-2 Sheff Utd
Saturday, February 18 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Luton 0-1 Burnley
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Millwall 1-1 Burnley

In most circumstances, Burnley are going to be backed to prevail in any Championship fixture. However, three days on from a testing visit to Luton and with a motivated Millwall in front of them, we can see a low-scoring share of the spoils being played out at The Den. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 38.38%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 33.61% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.03%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Burnley win was 0-1 (10.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
MillwallDrawBurnley
38.38% (0.498 0.5) 28.01% (0.171 0.17) 33.61% (-0.666 -0.67)
Both teams to score 47.57% (-0.606 -0.61)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.56% (-0.71 -0.71)58.44% (0.71400000000001 0.71)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.96% (-0.558 -0.56)79.04% (0.56099999999999 0.56)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.49% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)29.51% (0.055 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.48% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)65.52% (0.069000000000003 0.07)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.48% (-0.80800000000001 -0.81)32.52% (0.81 0.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.95% (-0.918 -0.92)69.05% (0.922 0.92)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 38.38%
    Burnley 33.61%
    Draw 28%
MillwallDrawBurnley
1-0 @ 11.71% (0.3 0.3)
2-1 @ 8.03% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.15% (0.17 0.17)
3-1 @ 3.27% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 2.91% (0.065 0.07)
3-2 @ 1.84% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 38.38%
1-1 @ 13.15% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 9.59% (0.256 0.26)
2-2 @ 4.51% (-0.093 -0.09)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 28%
0-1 @ 10.77% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
1-2 @ 7.39% (-0.14 -0.14)
0-2 @ 6.06% (-0.105 -0.11)
1-3 @ 2.77% (-0.116 -0.12)
0-3 @ 2.27% (-0.092 -0.09)
2-3 @ 1.69% (-0.073 -0.07)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 33.61%

How you voted: Millwall vs Burnley

Millwall
22.8%
Draw
25.5%
Burnley
51.7%
145
Head to Head
Aug 30, 2022 7.45pm
Sep 23, 2020 7pm
Third Round
Millwall
0-2
Burnley
Brownhill (45'), Vydra (90+3')
Brownhill (53'), Thomas (56'), Westwood (78')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd21145230111945
2Leeds UnitedLeeds21126337152242
3Burnley2111822681841
4Sunderland21117332171540
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2011452517837
6Middlesbrough21104735251034
7Watford2010462926334
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds218582630-429
10Swansea CitySwansea217682322127
11Bristol City216962626027
12Norwich CityNorwich216873632426
13Millwall206772018225
14Derby CountyDerby216692626024
15Coventry CityCoventry216692730-324
16Preston North EndPreston2141162127-623
17Stoke CityStoke215792328-522
18Queens Park RangersQPR2141072127-622
19Luton TownLuton2164112337-1422
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2046102133-1218
21Cardiff CityCardiff2046101932-1318
22Portsmouth193882134-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2045111942-2317
24Hull City2137111930-1116


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