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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 78.24%. A draw had a probability of 15% and a win for Huddersfield Town had a probability of 6.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.92%) and 3-0 (12.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.99%), while for a Huddersfield Town win it was 0-1 (2.96%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.
Result | ||
Burnley | Draw | Huddersfield Town |
78.24% ( -0.04) | 15.04% ( 0.02) | 6.72% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 37.85% ( -0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.56% ( -0.08) | 44.44% ( 0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.19% ( -0.08) | 66.81% ( 0.07) |
Burnley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.61% ( -0.03) | 9.38% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
68.41% ( -0.07) | 31.59% ( 0.06) |
Huddersfield Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
41.77% ( -0.03) | 58.23% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
10.28% ( -0.01) | 89.71% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Burnley | Draw | Huddersfield Town |
2-0 @ 15.29% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 12.92% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 12.06% 2-1 @ 8.27% 4-0 @ 7.14% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.52% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.86% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 3.38% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.83% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.76% ( -0) 6-0 @ 1.33% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.04% ( -0) Other @ 2.82% Total : 78.22% | 1-1 @ 6.99% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.46% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 2.24% ( -0) Other @ 0.34% Total : 15.04% | 0-1 @ 2.96% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 1.89% ( 0) Other @ 1.87% Total : 6.72% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 30 | 11 | 19 | 45 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 37 | 15 | 22 | 42 |
3 | Burnley | 21 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 26 | 8 | 18 | 41 |
4 | Sunderland | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 40 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 37 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 25 | 10 | 34 |
7 | Watford | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 34 |
8 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 21 | 7 | 11 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 32 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 29 |
10 | Swansea CitySwansea | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 27 |
11 | Bristol City | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 27 |
12 | Norwich CityNorwich | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 36 | 32 | 4 | 26 |
13 | Millwall | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 25 |
14 | Derby CountyDerby | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 24 |
15 | Coventry CityCoventry | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 24 |
16 | Preston North EndPreston | 21 | 4 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 23 |
17 | Stoke CityStoke | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 22 |
18 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 21 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 22 |
19 | Luton TownLuton | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 22 |
20 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 18 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 18 |
22 | Portsmouth | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 17 |
23 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 42 | -23 | 17 |
24 | Hull City | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19 | 30 | -11 | 16 |
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