FA Cup | Fifth Round
Mar 1, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Turf Moor
Burnley1 - 0Fleetwood
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Burnley 4-0 Huddersfield
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in Championship
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Fleetwood 1-0 Morecambe
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in League One
We said: Burnley 3-0 Fleetwood Town
With more changes expected from Burnley than Fleetwood, the outsiders have reason to believe that they can pull off what would be a considerable upset. However, such is the confidence within the Clarets camp that they will expect to beat most opposition in front of them, leading us to predict a dominant win. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 72.86%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 9.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.16%) and 3-0 (10.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.24%), while for a Fleetwood Town win it was 0-1 (3.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Burnley | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
72.86% ( 0.99) | 17.37% ( -0.67) | 9.77% ( -0.31) |
| Both teams to score 43.92% ( 0.99) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
