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Championship | Gameweek 8
Sep 24, 2023 at 12pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
Hull logo

Stoke
1 - 3
Hull City

Vidigal (77')
Wilmot (42'), Laurent (75')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Connolly (30'), Traore (32'), Slater (73')
Jones (38'), Michael Seri (45+4'), Greaves (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Hull City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Huddersfield 2-2 Stoke
Wednesday, September 20 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Hull City 0-0 Leeds
Wednesday, September 20 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Stoke City 1-2 Hull City

While Stoke are usually capable of beating any team in the Championship at home, they remain far from convincing. With that in mind, we are backing the consistency of Hull, who may edge this contest with a goal in the closing stages. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 53.76%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Hull City had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 2-0 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.38%), while for a Hull City win it was 0-1 (6.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Hull City would win this match.

Result
Stoke CityDrawHull City
53.76% (-0.868 -0.87) 23.94% (0.041 0.04) 22.3% (0.825 0.83)
Both teams to score 52.06% (0.966 0.97)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.09% (0.74100000000001 0.74)48.91% (-0.743 -0.74)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29% (0.667 0.67)71% (-0.67 -0.67)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.88% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)18.11% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.94% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)49.06% (0.083000000000006 0.08)
Hull City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.57% (1.218 1.22)36.42% (-1.22 -1.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.79% (1.21 1.21)73.21% (-1.212 -1.21)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 53.76%
    Hull City 22.3%
    Draw 23.94%
Stoke CityDrawHull City
1-0 @ 11.27% (-0.36 -0.36)
2-1 @ 9.73% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 9.63% (-0.328 -0.33)
3-1 @ 5.54% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.48% (-0.195 -0.2)
3-2 @ 2.8% (0.086 0.09)
4-1 @ 2.37% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.34% (-0.087 -0.09)
4-2 @ 1.2% (0.035 0.04)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 53.76%
1-1 @ 11.38% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.6% (-0.203 -0.2)
2-2 @ 4.91% (0.159 0.16)
3-3 @ 0.94% (0.059 0.06)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 23.94%
0-1 @ 6.66% (0.019 0.02)
1-2 @ 5.75% (0.195 0.19)
0-2 @ 3.36% (0.119 0.12)
1-3 @ 1.94% (0.126 0.13)
2-3 @ 1.65% (0.106 0.11)
0-3 @ 1.13% (0.076 0.08)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 22.3%

How you voted: Stoke vs Hull City

Stoke City
45.0%
Draw
20.0%
Hull City
35.0%
20
Head to Head
Feb 11, 2023 3pm
Sep 13, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Hull City
0-3
Stoke
Baker (25', 64'), Wilmot (45')
Jan 16, 2022 12pm
Gameweek 27
Hull City
0-2
Stoke

Docherty (17'), Bernard (64'), Smallwood (70')
Brown (22'), Ince (50')
Doughty (81')
Sep 25, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 9
Stoke
2-0
Hull City
Vrancic (35'), Powell (58')
Clucas (87'), Surridge (90')
Mar 7, 2020 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Buccaneers
@
Chiefs
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland139222391429
2Leeds UnitedLeeds137512281426
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd138321661025
4Burnley136521761123
5Watford137152221122
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom13562148621
7Millwall135441612419
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn135441614219
9Bristol City134721717019
10Norwich CityNorwich134632318518
11Middlesbrough135351415-118
12Swansea CitySwansea13445109116
13Coventry CityCoventry134361717015
14Derby CountyDerby134361617-115
15Hull City133641517-215
16Stoke CityStoke134361518-315
17Cardiff CityCardiff134361319-615
18Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds134361524-915
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd133551617-114
20Preston North EndPreston133551420-614
21Luton TownLuton133371521-612
22Plymouth ArgylePlymouth133371325-1212
23Queens Park RangersQPR131751119-810
24Portsmouth131661326-139


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