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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 53.76%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Hull City had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 2-0 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.38%), while for a Hull City win it was 0-1 (6.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Hull City would win this match.
Result | ||
Stoke City | Draw | Hull City |
53.76% ( -0.87) | 23.94% ( 0.04) | 22.3% ( 0.83) |
Both teams to score 52.06% ( 0.97) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.09% ( 0.74) | 48.91% ( -0.74) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29% ( 0.67) | 71% ( -0.67) |
Stoke City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.88% ( -0.05) | 18.11% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.94% ( -0.09) | 49.06% ( 0.08) |
Hull City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.57% ( 1.22) | 36.42% ( -1.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.79% ( 1.21) | 73.21% ( -1.21) |
Score Analysis |
Stoke City | Draw | Hull City |
1-0 @ 11.27% ( -0.36) 2-1 @ 9.73% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.63% ( -0.33) 3-1 @ 5.54% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.48% ( -0.2) 3-2 @ 2.8% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 2.37% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.34% ( -0.09) 4-2 @ 1.2% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.41% Total : 53.76% | 1-1 @ 11.38% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.6% ( -0.2) 2-2 @ 4.91% ( 0.16) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.94% | 0-1 @ 6.66% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5.75% ( 0.19) 0-2 @ 3.36% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 1.94% ( 0.13) 2-3 @ 1.65% ( 0.11) 0-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.08) Other @ 1.8% Total : 22.3% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 29 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 22 | 8 | 14 | 26 |
3 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 25 |
4 | Burnley | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 23 |
5 | Watford | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 22 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 21 |
7 | Millwall | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 19 |
8 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 19 |
9 | Bristol City | 13 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 19 |
10 | Norwich CityNorwich | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 18 |
11 | Middlesbrough | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 18 |
12 | Swansea CitySwansea | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 16 |
13 | Coventry CityCoventry | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 15 |
14 | Derby CountyDerby | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 15 |
15 | Hull City | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 15 |
16 | Stoke CityStoke | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 15 |
17 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 15 |
18 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 15 |
19 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 14 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 14 |
21 | Luton TownLuton | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 12 |
22 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 12 |
23 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 13 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 10 |
24 | Portsmouth | 13 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 9 |
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