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Championship | Gameweek 11
Oct 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Den
Hull logo

Millwall
2 - 2
Hull City

Watmore (8'), Bryan (54')
McNamara (9'), Harding (36'), De Norre (52'), Bryan (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Philogene-Bidace (25'), Traore (30')
Allsop (51'), Connolly (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Millwall and Hull City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Plymouth 0-2 Millwall
Tuesday, October 3 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Ipswich 3-0 Hull City
Tuesday, October 3 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Millwall 1-1 Hull City

Hull City will be keen to bounce back from Tuesday's defeat, while Millwall will have renewed positivity from their away win, but Rowett's men have not excelled on home turf this season, and we anticipate a share of the spoils at The Den. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 48.79%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Hull City had a probability of 25.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.27%), while for a Hull City win it was 0-1 (8.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
MillwallDrawHull City
48.79% (0.358 0.36) 25.88% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07) 25.32% (-0.288 -0.29)
Both teams to score 49.5% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.09% (0.066000000000003 0.07)53.91% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.63% (0.055 0.05)75.37% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.88% (0.187 0.19)22.12% (-0.188 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.51% (0.28 0.28)55.49% (-0.281 -0.28)
Hull City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.56% (-0.21100000000001 -0.21)36.44% (0.209 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.77% (-0.213 -0.21)73.22% (0.211 0.21)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 48.79%
    Hull City 25.33%
    Draw 25.88%
MillwallDrawHull City
1-0 @ 12.16% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.26% (0.026 0.03)
2-0 @ 9.17% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
3-1 @ 4.66% (0.04 0.04)
3-0 @ 4.61% (0.065 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.35% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.76% (0.025 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.74% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 48.79%
1-1 @ 12.27% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 8.06% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.68% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 25.88%
0-1 @ 8.14% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
1-2 @ 6.2% (-0.052 -0.05)
0-2 @ 4.11% (-0.058 -0.06)
1-3 @ 2.09% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.57% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.38% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 25.33%

How you voted: Millwall vs Hull City

Millwall
34.6%
Draw
46.2%
Hull City
19.2%
26
Head to Head
Apr 10, 2023 3pm
Nov 5, 2022 3pm
Apr 18, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 43
Millwall
2-1
Hull City
Malone (51'), Bradshaw (55')
Ballard (16'), Bialkowski (87')
Eaves (87')
Nov 27, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 20
Hull City
2-1
Millwall
Honeyman (29'), Longman (54')
Smallwood (40'), Eaves (89')
Bradshaw (45+1')
McNamara (63'), Afobe (89')
Jul 11, 2020 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd28186440182258
2Leeds UnitedLeeds27168351193256
3Sunderland28159440221854
4Burnley27141123192253
5Middlesbrough28128846341244
6Blackburn RoversBlackburn28126103126542
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2891453324941
8Watford28125113939041
9Queens Park RangersQPR2891183235-338
10Bristol City2791083331237
11Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds27107103843-537
12Norwich CityNorwich279994339436
13Coventry CityCoventry2898113737035
14Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2898113343-1035
15Swansea CitySwansea2897123135-434
16Preston North EndPreston2871383035-534
17Millwall27710102626031
18Stoke CityStoke27610112533-828
19Cardiff CityCardiff28610123143-1228
20Derby CountyDerby2876153138-727
21Hull City2868142738-1126
22Portsmouth2668123245-1326
23Luton TownLuton2875162947-1826
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2749142555-3021


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