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Championship header 2

Championship
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Championship | Gameweek 38
Mar 17, 2024 at 3pm UK
Elland Road
Millwall logo

Leeds
2 - 0
Millwall

Gnonto (33'), James (79')
Gnonto (18'), Firpo (29'), Gruev (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Cooper (18'), Flemming (25'), Leonard (53'), Honeyman (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Championship clash between Leeds United and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Leeds United

All competitions
Championship
Last Game: Sheff Weds 0-2 Leeds
Friday, March 8 at 8pm in Championship

Millwall

All competitions
Last Game: Millwall 1-0 Birmingham
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Leeds United 3-1 Millwall

 With Millwall having been the second-best performing side in the Championship over the past four games, they will fancy their chances of success at Elland Road. However, we have to back Leeds' superior quality to shine through, particularly when the stakes are getting higher. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 72.3%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Millwall had a probability of 9.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.95%) and 3-0 (10.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.43%), while for a Millwall win it was 0-1 (3.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 14% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Leeds United in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Leeds United.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawMillwall
72.3% (0.249 0.25) 17.9% (0.17 0.17) 9.8% (-0.416 -0.42)
Both teams to score 42.36% (-2.093 -2.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.45% (-1.949 -1.95)46.55% (1.952 1.95)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.17% (-1.858 -1.86)68.83% (1.86 1.86)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.53% (-0.47199999999999 -0.47)11.47% (0.474 0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.69% (-1.034 -1.03)36.31% (1.037 1.04)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.85% (-2.097 -2.1)52.15% (2.1 2.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.9% (-1.407 -1.41)86.1% (1.409 1.41)
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 72.29%
    Millwall 9.8%
    Draw 17.9%
Leeds UnitedDrawMillwall
2-0 @ 14.02% (0.61 0.61)
1-0 @ 12.95% (0.81 0.81)
3-0 @ 10.12% (0.252 0.25)
2-1 @ 9.13% (-0.152 -0.15)
3-1 @ 6.59% (-0.241 -0.24)
4-0 @ 5.48% (0.033 0.03)
4-1 @ 3.57% (-0.202 -0.2)
5-0 @ 2.37% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.15% (-0.218 -0.22)
5-1 @ 1.55% (-0.119 -0.12)
4-2 @ 1.16% (-0.143 -0.14)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 72.29%
1-1 @ 8.43% (0.023999999999999 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.98% (0.478 0.48)
2-2 @ 2.97% (-0.24 -0.24)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 17.9%
0-1 @ 3.9% (0.085 0.09)
1-2 @ 2.75% (-0.165 -0.17)
0-2 @ 1.27% (-0.051 -0.05)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 9.8%

How you voted: Leeds vs Millwall

Leeds United
86.2%
Draw
12.1%
Millwall
1.7%
58
Head to Head
Sep 17, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 6
Millwall
0-3
Leeds
Piroe (15', 77'), Rutter (81')
> Preview
Jan 28, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Leeds
3-2
Millwall
Bamford (48', 66'), Hernandez (62')
Hernandez (64'), Bamford (94')
Hutchinson (4'), Wallace (23' pen.)
Woods (26')
> Match Report
Oct 5, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 11
Millwall
2-1
Leeds
> Match Report
Mar 30, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 39
Leeds
3-2
Millwall
Hernandez (34', 83'), Ayling (71')
Cooper (55'), Jansson (65'), Clarke (94')
Thompson (10'), Marshall (55' pen.)
Meredith (7'), Cooper (30'), Marshall (74'), Martin (82')
> Match Report
Sep 15, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 7
Millwall
1-1
Leeds
Wallace (55')
Wallace (59')
Harrison (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310
> Championship Full Table


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