MX23RW : Saturday, November 23 23:09:41| >> :300:86500:86500:
Blackburn logo
Bristol City
Burnley logo
Cardiff City logo
Coventry City
Derby logo
Hull logo
Leeds logo
Luton Town
Middlesbrough logo
Millwall logo
Norwich logo
Oxford United
Plymouth Argyle
Portsmouth
Preston North End logo
QPR logo
Sheffield United logo
Sheffield Wednesday logo
Stoke logo
Sunderland
Swansea logo
Watford logo
West Brom logo
Millwall logo
Championship | Gameweek 6
Sep 17, 2023 at 12pm UK
The Den
Leeds logo

Millwall
0 - 3
Leeds

FT(HT: 0-1)
Piroe (15', 77'), Rutter (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Championship clash between Millwall and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Birmingham 1-1 Millwall
Saturday, September 2 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Leeds 0-0 Sheff Weds
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Millwall 1-2 Leeds United

With both teams having improved in recent matches, this should prove to be a competitive contest, one that the home side will fancy their chances of winning. However, despite Leeds remaining in a transitional period under Farke, we expect their greater firepower to come through at The Den. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 40.68%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 32.26% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 0-1 (9.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
MillwallDrawLeeds United
40.68% (-0.518 -0.52) 27.06% (0.894 0.89) 32.26% (-0.372 -0.37)
Both teams to score 50.09% (-2.908 -2.91)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.87% (-3.667 -3.67)55.12% (3.668 3.67)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.62% (-3.109 -3.11)76.37% (3.112 3.11)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.38% (-1.944 -1.94)26.62% (1.946 1.95)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.15% (-2.647 -2.65)61.85% (2.649 2.65)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.25% (-2.098 -2.1)31.74% (2.099 2.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.83% (-2.477 -2.48)68.17% (2.479 2.48)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 40.68%
    Leeds United 32.26%
    Draw 27.06%
MillwallDrawLeeds United
1-0 @ 11.18% (0.95 0.95)
2-1 @ 8.49% (-0.216 -0.22)
2-0 @ 7.4% (0.239 0.24)
3-1 @ 3.75% (-0.316 -0.32)
3-0 @ 3.27% (-0.076 -0.08)
3-2 @ 2.15% (-0.32 -0.32)
4-1 @ 1.24% (-0.182 -0.18)
4-0 @ 1.08% (-0.088 -0.09)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 40.68%
1-1 @ 12.83% (0.39 0.39)
0-0 @ 8.45% (1.136 1.14)
2-2 @ 4.87% (-0.422 -0.42)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 27.06%
0-1 @ 9.7% (0.803 0.8)
1-2 @ 7.36% (-0.203 -0.2)
0-2 @ 5.56% (0.156 0.16)
1-3 @ 2.82% (-0.25 -0.25)
0-3 @ 2.13% (-0.063 -0.06)
2-3 @ 1.86% (-0.282 -0.28)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 32.26%

How you voted: Millwall vs Leeds

Millwall
27.6%
Draw
20.7%
Leeds United
51.7%
29
Head to Head
Jan 28, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Leeds
3-2
Millwall
Bamford (48', 66'), Hernandez (62')
Hernandez (64'), Bamford (94')
Hutchinson (4'), Wallace (23' pen.)
Woods (26')
Oct 5, 2019 3pm
Mar 30, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 39
Leeds
3-2
Millwall
Hernandez (34', 83'), Ayling (71')
Cooper (55'), Jansson (65'), Clarke (94')
Thompson (10'), Marshall (55' pen.)
Meredith (7'), Cooper (30'), Marshall (74'), Martin (82')
Sep 15, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 7
Millwall
1-1
Leeds
Wallace (55')
Wallace (59')
Harrison (89')
Jan 20, 2018 3pm
Leeds
3-4
Millwall
Lasogga (46', 62'), Roofe (55')
Jansson (41'), Alioski (58'), Phillips (86')
Cooper (37')
O'Brien (18'), Gregory (42'), Elliott (87'), Wallace (90')
Hutchinson (51'), Elliott (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1610422191232
2Sunderland1594225111431
3Burnley168621961330
4Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
5Middlesbrough1683529191027
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom166821811726
7Watford168262524126
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City165742020022
11Derby CountyDerby165562020020
12Stoke CityStoke165561920-120
13Norwich CityNorwich164752524119
14Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds165471826-819
16Luton TownLuton165381826-818
17Coventry CityCoventry164572223-117
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd164571924-517
19Plymouth ArgylePlymouth164571728-1117
20Preston North EndPreston163761624-816
21Cardiff CityCardiff164481524-916
22Hull City163671621-515
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR161871326-1311


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!