Championship

Championship | Gameweek 6

Sep 17, 2023 at 12pm UK

The Den

Millwall
0 - 3
Leeds

FT(HT: 0-1)

Piroe (15', 77'), Rutter (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Championship clash between Millwall and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Millwall

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Birmingham 1-1 Millwall
Saturday, September 2 at 12.30pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Leeds United

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Leeds 0-0 Sheff Weds
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Millwall 1-2 Leeds United

With both teams having improved in recent matches, this should prove to be a competitive contest, one that the home side will fancy their chances of winning. However, despite Leeds remaining in a transitional period under Farke, we expect their greater firepower to come through at The Den. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 40.68%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 32.26% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 0-1 (9.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
Millwall	Draw	Leeds United
40.68% ( -0.52)	27.06% ( 0.89)	32.26% ( -0.37)

Both teams to score 50.09% (

-2.91)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.87% (

-3.67)

55.12% (

3.67)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.62% (

-3.11)

76.37% (

3.11)

Millwall Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.38% (

-1.94)

26.62% (

1.95)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.15% (

-2.65)

61.85% (

2.65)

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.25% (

-2.1)

31.74% (

2.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.83% (

-2.48)

68.17% (

2.48)

Score Analysis

Millwall 40.68%

Leeds United 32.26%

Draw 27.06%

Millwall	Draw	Leeds United
1-0 @ 11.18% ( 0.95) 2-1 @ 8.49% ( -0.22) 2-0 @ 7.4% ( 0.24) 3-1 @ 3.75% ( -0.32) 3-0 @ 3.27% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 2.15% ( -0.32) 4-1 @ 1.24% ( -0.18) 4-0 @ 1.08% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.12% Total : 40.68%	1-1 @ 12.83% ( 0.39) 0-0 @ 8.45% ( 1.14) 2-2 @ 4.87% ( -0.42) Other @ 0.91% Total : 27.06%	0-1 @ 9.7% ( 0.8) 1-2 @ 7.36% ( -0.2) 0-2 @ 5.56% ( 0.16) 1-3 @ 2.82% ( -0.25) 0-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.28) Other @ 2.83% Total : 32.26%