We said: Millwall 1-2 Leeds United
With both teams having improved in recent matches, this should prove to be a competitive contest, one that the home side will fancy their chances of winning. However, despite Leeds remaining in a transitional period under Farke, we expect their greater firepower to come through at The Den.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 40.68%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 32.26% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 0-1 (9.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.