Championship | Gameweek 35
Mar 2, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Den
Millwall1 - 0Watford
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Southampton 1-2 Millwall
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in Championship
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 1-2 Huddersfield
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in Championship
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in Championship
We said: Millwall 1-0 Watford
A sold-out Den will give returning coach Harris a resounding reception on Saturday afternoon, and we feel that a hostile home crowd could push Millwall towards victory. Watford's season has stalled in recent weeks, and we are expecting another tough Championship contest for the Hornets this weekend in the capital. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 41.53%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 31.65% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.62%) and 0-2 (7.52%). The likeliest Millwall win was 1-0 (9.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Millwall in this match.
| Result | ||
| Millwall | Draw | Watford |
31.65% ( 0.09) | 26.82% ( -0.01) | 41.53% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 50.62% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.64% ( 0.05) | 54.36% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.26% ( 0.04) | 75.74% ( -0.04) |
| Millwall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.23% ( 0.09) | 31.77% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.8% ( 0.1) | 68.2% ( -0.1) |
| Watford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.19% ( -0.02) | 25.81% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.23% ( -0.02) | 60.77% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
Millwall 31.65%
Watford 41.52%
Draw 26.82%
| Millwall | Draw | Watford |
| 1-0 @ 9.4% ( 0) 2-1 @ 7.3% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 5.39% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.79% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.06% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.89% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.82% Total : 31.65% | 1-1 @ 12.73% 0-0 @ 8.2% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.94% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.94% Total : 26.82% | 0-1 @ 11.1% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 8.62% ( -0)0-2 @ 7.52% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.89% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.4% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.23% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.32% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.15% ( -0)Other @ 2.29% Total : 41.52% |
How you voted: Millwall vs Watford
Millwall
59.0%Draw
23.1%Watford
17.9%39
Head to Head
Dec 26, 2022 12pm
Oct 19, 2022 8pm
Jul 19, 2022 7.45pm
Club Friendlies
Millwall
0-0
Watford
Apr 24, 2021 3pm
Form Guide
