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Championship | Gameweek 23
Dec 22, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Swansea.com Stadium
Preston North End logo

Swansea
2 - 1
Preston

Paterson (60', 90+5')
Grimes (30'), Lowe (32'), Lowe (32'), Cabango (38'), Paterson (42')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Millar (67')
McCann (45+5'), Holmes (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Preston North End, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Swansea 1-2 Middlesbrough
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Preston 1-5 Watford
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Swansea City 1-1 Preston North End

This is a game between two sides that are increasingly eager to get three points on the board on a more regular basis. However, we expect a tense encounter, one which may may end in a low-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 47.33%. A win for Preston North End had a probability of 27.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (8.55%). The likeliest Preston North End win was 0-1 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swansea City would win this match.

Result
Swansea CityDrawPreston North End
47.33% (0.073 0.07) 25.62% (-0.038 -0.04) 27.05% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Both teams to score 51.72% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.28% (0.136 0.14)51.72% (-0.135 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.51% (0.116 0.12)73.5% (-0.116 -0.12)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.15% (0.088999999999999 0.09)21.86% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.91% (0.136 0.14)55.09% (-0.136 -0.14)
Preston North End Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.18% (0.042999999999992 0.04)33.82% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.52% (0.047999999999998 0.05)70.49% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 47.33%
    Preston North End 27.05%
    Draw 25.62%
Swansea CityDrawPreston North End
1-0 @ 11.24% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.27% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.55%
3-1 @ 4.7% (0.018 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.33% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.55% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.79% (0.012 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.65% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.97% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 47.33%
1-1 @ 12.18% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.39% (-0.039 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.02% (0.012 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.92% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.62%
0-1 @ 8.01% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
1-2 @ 6.61% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 4.34% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.39% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 1.82% (0.006 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.57% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 27.05%

How you voted: Swansea vs Preston

Swansea City
37.0%
Draw
22.2%
Preston North End
40.7%
27
Head to Head
Aug 26, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 4
Preston
2-1
Swansea
Hughes (67'), Holmes (79')
Ledson (11'), Browne (48')
Ashby (33')
N (48')
Apr 19, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 43
Swansea
4-2
Preston
Piroe (2', 90+4'), Allen (35'), Darling (44')
Cannon (48'), Parrott (71')
Nov 1, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
Preston
1-0
Swansea
Potts (30')
Jan 22, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 28
Swansea
1-0
Preston
Manning (51')
Manning (13'), Latibeaudiere (87'), Smith (88')

Cunningham (65'), Evans (87'), Bauer (90+1')
Aug 28, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 5
Preston
3-1
Swansea
Van den Berg (21'), Riis Jakobsen (45+1'), Whiteman (52')
Ledson (59'), Johnson (61'), Whiteman (71'), Sinclair (85')
Piroe (19')
Benda (51')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom22811326161035
8Watford2110473028234
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
12Bristol City226972628-227
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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