FA Cup

FA Cup | Third Round

Jan 6, 2024 at 5.30pm UK

Swansea.com Stadium

Swansea
2 - 0
Morecambe

Patino (47'), Yates (87')
Wood (77')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Major (85'), Edwards (89')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Swansea City and Morecambe, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Swansea City

All competitions

Last Game: Swansea 1-0 West Brom
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Morecambe

All competitions

FA Cup

Last Game: Morecambe 2-2 Harrogate
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Swansea City 2-0 Morecambe

With confidence low in the Morecambe ranks, Swansea will expect to take advantage. However, with changes likely in the home side's starting lineup, they may only score a goal in each half to secure the progress to the last 32. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 58.68%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 19.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.49%) and 2-0 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.05%), while for a Morecambe win it was 1-2 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Swansea City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Swansea City.

Result
Swansea City	Draw	Morecambe
58.68% ( -0.14)	21.51% ( 0.07)	19.8% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 56.29% (

-0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.5% (

-0.25)

41.49% (

0.25)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.11% (

-0.26)

63.89% (

0.26)

Swansea City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.16% (

-0.12)

13.84% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.79% (

-0.25)

41.21% (

0.25)

Morecambe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.33% (

-0.09)

34.67% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.6% (

-0.09)

71.39% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

Swansea City 58.68%

Morecambe 19.8%

Draw 21.51%

Swansea City	Draw	Morecambe
2-1 @ 9.94% 1-0 @ 9.49% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 9.38% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 6.55% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 6.19% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.47% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 3.24% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 3.06% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.72% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.28% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.21% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.16% Total : 58.68%	1-1 @ 10.05% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.27% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.8% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 21.51%	1-2 @ 5.32% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.08% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 2.69% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.88% 2-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.01% Total : 19.8%