Championship | Gameweek 5
Sep 14, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
The Den
Millwall0 - 1Luton
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Millwall 3-0 Sheff Weds
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in Championship
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Luton 1-2 QPR
Friday, August 30 at 8pm in Championship
Friday, August 30 at 8pm in Championship
We said: Millwall 1-0 Luton Town
With a recently-relegated side arriving at The Den this weekend, Millwall should be raring to put in an aggressive performance against a faltering Luton outfit. The Hatters undoubtedly possess the talent to hurt the Lions on Saturday, but we feel that Rob Edwards's troops will slump to their fourth defeat of the league campaign. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 41.22%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 32.45% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 0-1 (9.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Millwall | Draw | Luton Town |
41.22% ( 0.28) | 26.32% ( 0.06) | 32.45% ( -0.35) |
| Both teams to score 52.45% ( -0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
