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Luton Town
Championship | Gameweek 4
Aug 30, 2024 at 8pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
QPR logo

Luton
1 - 2
QPR

Dunne (18' og.)
Chong (2'), Doughty (48'), Clark (79')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Madsen (59'), Frey (62')
Cook (30'), Field (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Queens Park Rangers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: QPR 1-1 Luton (4-1 pen.)
Tuesday, August 27 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

We said: Luton Town 2-1 Queens Park Rangers

Luton will welcome the opportunity to return back to Kenilworth Road given their recent schedule and we feel that it could prove pivotal to the end result. QPR will pose a threat against the Hatters, yet the home side could come through with a hard-fought win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queens Park Rangers win with a probability of 38.09%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 35.8% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Queens Park Rangers win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.36%) and 0-2 (6.44%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 1-0 (9.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Queens Park Rangers would win this match.

Result
Luton TownDrawQueens Park Rangers
35.8% (0.233 0.23) 26.1% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02) 38.09% (-0.215 -0.22)
Both teams to score 53.83% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.34% (0.104 0.1)50.66% (-0.108 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.43% (0.091999999999999 0.09)72.56% (-0.094000000000008 -0.09)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.72% (0.188 0.19)27.28% (-0.192 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.28% (0.246 0.25)62.71% (-0.25 -0.25)
Queens Park Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.03% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)25.97% (0.067 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.02% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)60.98% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 35.8%
    Queens Park Rangers 38.09%
    Draw 26.1%
Luton TownDrawQueens Park Rangers
1-0 @ 9.2% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.06% (0.036 0.04)
2-0 @ 5.98% (0.038 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.49% (0.034 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.59% (0.03 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.35% (0.019 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.13% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 3%
Total : 35.8%
1-1 @ 12.4% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.08% (-0.031 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.43% (0.013 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.06% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.1%
0-1 @ 9.55% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-2 @ 8.36% (-0.023999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.44% (-0.053 -0.05)
1-3 @ 3.76% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.89% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.44% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-4 @ 1.27% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
0-4 @ 0.98% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 38.09%

How you voted: Luton vs QPR

Luton Town
62.6%
Draw
14.2%
Queens Park Rangers
23.2%
155
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2024 7.45pm
Second Round
QPR
1-1
Luton
(Aggregate 1-1 | QPR win 4-1 on penalties)
Santos (11')
Santos (33'), Colback (49'), Celar (84')
Nelson (16')
Walters (40'), Morris (72')
Dec 29, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 25
QPR
0-3
Luton
Morris (10', 47'), Doughty (81')
Oct 15, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 15
Luton
3-1
QPR
Adebayo (18'), Dunne (77' og.), Freeman (90+3')
Horvath (90+1' og.)
Mar 13, 2022 12pm
Gameweek 37
Luton
1-2
QPR
Jerome (37')
Gray (55' pen.), Dickie (83')
Chair (45+4'), Amos (87'), Wallace (90+5')
Nov 19, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
QPR
2-0
Luton
Willock (10'), Austin (55')
Dozzell (59'), Austin (75'), Dickie (90')

Lansbury (13'), Bradley (54'), Adebayo (57')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds362210472234976
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd36246651272476
3Burnley362014249103974
4Sunderland361911654332168
5Coventry CityCoventry36168125246656
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom361316746321455
7Bristol City36131494639753
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn36157144137452
9Middlesbrough36148145547850
10Norwich CityNorwich361213115749849
11Watford36147154650-449
12Millwall361212123637-148
13Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds36139145056-648
14Queens Park RangersQPR361111144146-544
15Swansea CitySwansea36128163846-844
16Preston North EndPreston36916113642-643
17Portsmouth36119164457-1342
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd36912153753-1639
19Hull City36910173645-937
20Stoke CityStoke36812163650-1436
21Cardiff CityCardiff36812163959-2036
22Derby CountyDerby3688203549-1432
23Luton TownLuton3687213259-2731
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth36612183673-3730


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