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Championship | Gameweek 19
Nov 2, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Turf Moor
Rotherham logo

Burnley
3 - 2
Rotherham

Rodriguez (35'), Benson (90+1'), Dervisoglu (90+10')
Maatsen (89'), Brownhill (89'), Beyer (90+10')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Wiles (3'), Ogbene (64')
Bramall (68'), Barlaser (90'), Wiles (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Burnley and Rotherham United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Burnley 2-1 Reading
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Cardiff 1-0 Rotherham
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Burnley 3-0 Rotherham United

Burnley should be able to continue their impressive recent form with a fairly routine win against Rotherham United. The Millers have shipped too many goals in recent matches against weaker sides than Burnley, and we expect the Clarets to put a few past them in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 66.96%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Rotherham United had a probability of 12.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.25%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.61%), while for a Rotherham United win it was 0-1 (4.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.

Result
BurnleyDrawRotherham United
66.96% (4.369 4.37) 20.41% (-1.589 -1.59) 12.63% (-2.775 -2.78)
Both teams to score 43.88% (-2.232 -2.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.18% (0.873 0.87)49.82% (-0.86799999999999 -0.87)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.18% (0.774 0.77)71.82% (-0.77000000000001 -0.77)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.02% (1.67 1.67)13.98% (-1.666 -1.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.52% (3.189 3.19)41.48% (-3.185 -3.19)
Rotherham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.01% (-3.652 -3.65)48.99% (3.656 3.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.05% (-2.747 -2.75)83.95% (2.75 2.75)
Score Analysis
    Burnley 66.95%
    Rotherham United 12.63%
    Draw 20.41%
BurnleyDrawRotherham United
1-0 @ 13.47% (0.32 0.32)
2-0 @ 13.25% (1.05 1.05)
2-1 @ 9.46% (-0.194 -0.19)
3-0 @ 8.7% (1.15 1.15)
3-1 @ 6.21% (0.235 0.24)
4-0 @ 4.28% (0.778 0.78)
4-1 @ 3.05% (0.284 0.28)
3-2 @ 2.21% (-0.148 -0.15)
5-0 @ 1.68% (0.386 0.39)
5-1 @ 1.2% (0.175 0.18)
4-2 @ 1.09% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 66.95%
1-1 @ 9.61% (-0.786 -0.79)
0-0 @ 6.85% (-0.245 -0.25)
2-2 @ 3.38% (-0.444 -0.44)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 20.41%
0-1 @ 4.89% (-0.725 -0.73)
1-2 @ 3.43% (-0.687 -0.69)
0-2 @ 1.74% (-0.476 -0.48)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 12.63%

How you voted: Burnley vs Rotherham

Burnley
85.3%
Draw
11.0%
Rotherham United
3.7%
109
Head to Head
Feb 20, 2016 3pm
Burnley
2-0
Rotherham
Vokes (27' pen.), Arfield (86')
Gray (64'), Mee (68')

Burke (20'), Smallwood (85')
Mar 12, 2005 3pm
Burnley
2-1
Rotherham
Sinclair (14'), Grant (11')
Gilchrist (4')
Aug 10, 2004 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds362210472234976
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd36246651272476
3Burnley362014249103974
4Sunderland361911654332168
5Coventry CityCoventry36168125246656
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom361316746321455
7Bristol City36131494639753
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn36157144137452
9Middlesbrough36148145547850
10Norwich CityNorwich361213115749849
11Watford36147154650-449
12Millwall361212123637-148
13Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds36139145056-648
14Queens Park RangersQPR361111144146-544
15Swansea CitySwansea36128163846-844
16Preston North EndPreston36916113642-643
17Portsmouth36119164457-1342
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd36912153753-1639
19Hull City36910173645-937
20Stoke CityStoke36812163650-1436
21Cardiff CityCardiff36812163959-2036
22Derby CountyDerby3688203549-1432
23Luton TownLuton3687213259-2731
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth36612183673-3730


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