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Championship | Gameweek 18
Nov 30, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Riverside Stadium
Hull logo

Middlesbrough
3 - 1
Hull City

Azaz (24'), Conway (41', 79')
Borges (46')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Burstow (71')
Coyle (39'), McLoughlin (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Hull City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Middlesbrough 0-1 Blackburn
Wednesday, November 27 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Hull City 0-2 Sheff Weds
Tuesday, November 26 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Middlesbrough 2-1 Hull City

While Middlesbrough are ravaged by injuries throughout their squad and Hull City could feel a boost from a change in management, we still see the gulf in quality being too large and back Middlesbrough to return to winning ways at the Riverside Stadium. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 53.66%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Hull City had a probability of 22.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 2-0 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.1%), while for a Hull City win it was 0-1 (6.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawHull City
53.66% (0.263 0.26) 23.46% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06) 22.88% (-0.201 -0.2)
Both teams to score 54.36% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.77% (0.048999999999999 0.05)46.23% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.48% (0.047000000000001 0.05)68.52% (-0.042999999999992 -0.04)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.84% (0.11499999999999 0.11)17.16% (-0.111 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.6% (0.198 0.2)47.41% (-0.194 -0.19)
Hull City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.61% (-0.151 -0.15)34.39% (0.155 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.9% (-0.164 -0.16)71.1% (0.16800000000001 0.17)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 53.66%
    Hull City 22.88%
    Draw 23.46%
MiddlesbroughDrawHull City
1-0 @ 10.4% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.79% (0.012 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.17% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
3-1 @ 5.75% (0.028 0.03)
3-0 @ 5.39% (0.048 0.05)
3-2 @ 3.07% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 2.53% (0.021 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.37% (0.03 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.35% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.85%
Total : 53.66%
1-1 @ 11.1% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 5.9% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.22% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.09% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 23.46%
0-1 @ 6.3% (-0.039 -0.04)
1-2 @ 5.93% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-2 @ 3.36% (-0.035 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.11% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.86% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.2% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 22.88%

How you voted: Middlesbrough vs Hull City

Middlesbrough
75.4%
Draw
19.7%
Hull City
4.9%
61
Head to Head
Apr 10, 2024 8pm
Dec 13, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 21
Middlesbrough
1-2
Hull City
Delap (69'), Tufan (82')
Coyle (65')
Apr 19, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 43
Middlesbrough
3-1
Hull City
Hackney (55'), Archer (58'), Akpom (61')
Nov 1, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
Hull City
1-3
Middlesbrough
Christie (60')
Akpom (30'), Figueiredo (63' og.), Christie (80' og.)
Apr 9, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 41
Middlesbrough
0-1
Hull City

Crooks (16'), Tavernier (70'), Connolly (81')
Lewis-Potter (74')
McLoughlin (26'), Slater (42'), Smallwood (80'), Honeyman (85'), Docherty (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds362210472234976
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd36246651272476
3Burnley362014249103974
4Sunderland361911654332168
5Coventry CityCoventry36168125246656
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom361316746321455
7Bristol City36131494639753
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn36157144137452
9Middlesbrough36148145547850
10Norwich CityNorwich361213115749849
11Watford36147154650-449
12Millwall361212123637-148
13Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds36139145056-648
14Queens Park RangersQPR361111144146-544
15Swansea CitySwansea36128163846-844
16Preston North EndPreston36916113642-643
17Portsmouth36119164457-1342
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd36912153753-1639
19Hull City36910173645-937
20Stoke CityStoke36812163650-1436
21Cardiff CityCardiff36812163959-2036
22Derby CountyDerby3688203549-1432
23Luton TownLuton3687213259-2731
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth36612183673-3730


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