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Luton Town
Championship | Gameweek 16
Nov 23, 2024 at 3pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
Hull logo

Luton
1 - 0
Hull City

McGuinness (33')
Burke (22'), Nakamba (39')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Coyle (37')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Hull City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Middlesbrough 5-1 Luton
Saturday, November 9 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Hull City 1-2 West Brom
Sunday, November 10 at 1pm in Championship

We said: Luton Town 2-1 Hull City

Saturday's meeting is crucial for both teams in their bid to put a tough start to the season behind them. Luton Town are yet to show their quality on their return to the Championship but should have enough to get over the line at Kenilworth Road against a Hull City side also struggling for confidence. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hull City win with a probability of 37.95%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 36.51% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hull City win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.4%) and 0-2 (6.18%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 1-0 (8.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Luton Town would win this match.

Result
Luton TownDrawHull City
36.51% (-1.275 -1.28) 25.53% (0.293 0.29) 37.95% (0.982 0.98)
Both teams to score 55.85% (-1.049 -1.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.89% (-1.34 -1.34)48.11% (1.34 1.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.73% (-1.241 -1.24)70.27% (1.241 1.24)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.33% (-1.317 -1.32)25.66% (1.319 1.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.43% (-1.827 -1.83)60.57% (1.828 1.83)
Hull City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.13% (-0.078999999999994 -0.08)24.87% (0.080000000000002 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.52% (-0.108 -0.11)59.48% (0.109 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 36.51%
    Hull City 37.95%
    Draw 25.53%
Luton TownDrawHull City
1-0 @ 8.68% (0.154 0.15)
2-1 @ 8.22% (-0.186 -0.19)
2-0 @ 5.9% (-0.121 -0.12)
3-1 @ 3.72% (-0.233 -0.23)
3-0 @ 2.68% (-0.161 -0.16)
3-2 @ 2.59% (-0.168 -0.17)
4-1 @ 1.27% (-0.131 -0.13)
4-0 @ 0.91% (-0.092 -0.09)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 36.51%
1-1 @ 12.08% (0.19 0.19)
0-0 @ 6.38% (0.347 0.35)
2-2 @ 5.72% (-0.143 -0.14)
3-3 @ 1.2% (-0.081 -0.08)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.53%
0-1 @ 8.88% (0.464 0.46)
1-2 @ 8.4% (0.111 0.11)
0-2 @ 6.18% (0.309 0.31)
1-3 @ 3.9% (0.043 0.04)
0-3 @ 2.87% (0.137 0.14)
2-3 @ 2.65% (-0.072 -0.07)
1-4 @ 1.36% (0.012 0.01)
0-4 @ 1% (0.046 0.05)
2-4 @ 0.92% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 37.95%

How you voted: Luton vs Hull City

Luton Town
74.1%
Draw
13.8%
Hull City
12.1%
58
Head to Head
May 8, 2023 3pm
Sep 30, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 12
Hull City
0-2
Luton
Jones (6' og.), Lansbury (44')
Mar 19, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 39
Hull City
1-3
Luton
Eaves (90+2')
Huddlestone (71'), Honeyman (86')
Adebayo (9'), Cornick (56'), Bree (72')
Clark (11'), Kioso (25')
Oct 23, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 14
Luton
1-0
Hull City
Adebayo (17')

Bernard (27')
Jul 18, 2020 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd21145230111945
2Leeds UnitedLeeds21126337152242
3Burnley2111822681841
4Sunderland21117332171540
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2011452517837
6Middlesbrough21104735251034
7Watford2010462926334
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds218582630-429
10Swansea CitySwansea217682322127
11Bristol City216962626027
12Norwich CityNorwich216873632426
13Millwall206772018225
14Derby CountyDerby216692626024
15Coventry CityCoventry216692730-324
16Preston North EndPreston2141162127-623
17Stoke CityStoke215792328-522
18Queens Park RangersQPR2141072127-622
19Luton TownLuton2164112337-1422
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2046102133-1218
21Cardiff CityCardiff2046101932-1318
22Portsmouth193882134-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2045111942-2317
24Hull City2137111930-1116


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