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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hull City win with a probability of 37.95%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 36.51% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hull City win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.4%) and 0-2 (6.18%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 1-0 (8.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Luton Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Luton Town | Draw | Hull City |
36.51% ( -1.28) | 25.53% ( 0.29) | 37.95% ( 0.98) |
Both teams to score 55.85% ( -1.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.89% ( -1.34) | 48.11% ( 1.34) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.73% ( -1.24) | 70.27% ( 1.24) |
Luton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.33% ( -1.32) | 25.66% ( 1.32) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.43% ( -1.83) | 60.57% ( 1.83) |
Hull City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.13% ( -0.08) | 24.87% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.52% ( -0.11) | 59.48% ( 0.11) |
Score Analysis |
Luton Town | Draw | Hull City |
1-0 @ 8.68% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 8.22% ( -0.19) 2-0 @ 5.9% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 3.72% ( -0.23) 3-0 @ 2.68% ( -0.16) 3-2 @ 2.59% ( -0.17) 4-1 @ 1.27% ( -0.13) 4-0 @ 0.91% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.55% Total : 36.51% | 1-1 @ 12.08% ( 0.19) 0-0 @ 6.38% ( 0.35) 2-2 @ 5.72% ( -0.14) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.53% | 0-1 @ 8.88% ( 0.46) 1-2 @ 8.4% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 6.18% ( 0.31) 1-3 @ 3.9% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 2.87% ( 0.14) 2-3 @ 2.65% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 1.36% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.79% Total : 37.95% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 30 | 11 | 19 | 45 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 37 | 15 | 22 | 42 |
3 | Burnley | 21 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 26 | 8 | 18 | 41 |
4 | Sunderland | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 40 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 37 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 25 | 10 | 34 |
7 | Watford | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 34 |
8 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 21 | 7 | 11 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 32 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 29 |
10 | Swansea CitySwansea | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 27 |
11 | Bristol City | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 27 |
12 | Norwich CityNorwich | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 36 | 32 | 4 | 26 |
13 | Millwall | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 25 |
14 | Derby CountyDerby | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 24 |
15 | Coventry CityCoventry | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 24 |
16 | Preston North EndPreston | 21 | 4 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 23 |
17 | Stoke CityStoke | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 22 |
18 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 21 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 22 |
19 | Luton TownLuton | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 22 |
20 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 18 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 18 |
22 | Portsmouth | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 17 |
23 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 42 | -23 | 17 |
24 | Hull City | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19 | 30 | -11 | 16 |
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