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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 63.66%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Hull City had a probability of 16.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.17%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.55%), while for a Hull City win it was 0-1 (4.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.
Result | ||
Middlesbrough | Draw | Hull City |
63.66% (![]() | 20.24% (![]() | 16.1% (![]() |
Both teams to score 53.26% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.06% (![]() | 41.94% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.65% (![]() | 64.34% (![]() |
Middlesbrough Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.48% (![]() | 12.51% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.47% (![]() | 38.52% (![]() |
Hull City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.88% (![]() | 39.12% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.16% (![]() | 75.83% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Middlesbrough | Draw | Hull City |
2-0 @ 10.57% (![]() 1-0 @ 10.17% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.92% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 7.32% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.87% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 3.81% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.57% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.23% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.68% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.58% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.49% ( ![]() Other @ 3.44% Total : 63.65% | 1-1 @ 9.55% (![]() 0-0 @ 4.9% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.66% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.01% ( ![]() Other @ 0.13% Total : 20.24% | 0-1 @ 4.6% (![]() 1-2 @ 4.48% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.16% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.46% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.4% ( ![]() Other @ 2.01% Total : 16.1% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |