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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 59.01%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 17.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%), while for a Wigan Athletic win it was 0-1 (6.58%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.
Result | ||
Middlesbrough | Draw | Wigan Athletic |
59.01% (![]() | 23.83% | 17.15% (![]() |
Both teams to score 44.45% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.11% (![]() | 54.88% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.82% (![]() | 76.17% (![]() |
Middlesbrough Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.62% | 18.38% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.48% | 49.51% |
Wigan Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.45% (![]() | 45.54% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.64% (![]() | 81.36% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Middlesbrough | Draw | Wigan Athletic |
1-0 @ 14.17% (![]() 2-0 @ 12% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.45% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 6.78% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.33% 4-0 @ 2.87% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.26% 3-2 @ 2.1% 5-0 @ 0.97% Other @ 3.07% Total : 58.99% | 1-1 @ 11.15% 0-0 @ 8.37% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 3.72% ( ![]() Other @ 0.6% Total : 23.83% | 0-1 @ 6.58% (![]() 1-2 @ 4.39% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.59% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.15% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 0.97% ( ![]() Other @ 1.47% Total : 17.15% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 39 | 26 | 7 | 6 | 56 | 29 | 27 | 83 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 39 | 23 | 12 | 4 | 78 | 27 | 51 | 81 |
3 | Burnley | 39 | 22 | 15 | 2 | 53 | 11 | 42 | 81 |
4 | Sunderland | 39 | 20 | 12 | 7 | 56 | 37 | 19 | 72 |
5 | Coventry CityCoventry | 39 | 17 | 8 | 14 | 56 | 51 | 5 | 59 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 39 | 13 | 18 | 8 | 48 | 35 | 13 | 57 |
7 | Middlesbrough | 39 | 16 | 9 | 14 | 59 | 49 | 10 | 57 |
8 | Bristol City | 39 | 14 | 15 | 10 | 49 | 42 | 7 | 57 |
9 | Watford | 39 | 15 | 8 | 16 | 47 | 51 | -4 | 53 |
10 | Norwich CityNorwich | 39 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 61 | 54 | 7 | 52 |
11 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 39 | 15 | 7 | 17 | 42 | 41 | 1 | 52 |
12 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 39 | 14 | 10 | 15 | 54 | 60 | -6 | 52 |
13 | Millwall | 39 | 13 | 12 | 14 | 37 | 40 | -3 | 51 |
14 | Preston North EndPreston | 39 | 10 | 17 | 12 | 39 | 46 | -7 | 47 |
15 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 39 | 11 | 12 | 16 | 45 | 53 | -8 | 45 |
16 | Swansea CitySwansea | 39 | 12 | 9 | 18 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 45 |
17 | Portsmouth | 39 | 12 | 9 | 18 | 47 | 61 | -14 | 45 |
18 | Stoke CityStoke | 39 | 10 | 12 | 17 | 40 | 52 | -12 | 42 |
19 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 39 | 10 | 12 | 17 | 40 | 57 | -17 | 42 |
20 | Derby CountyDerby | 39 | 11 | 8 | 20 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 41 |
21 | Hull City | 39 | 10 | 11 | 18 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 41 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 39 | 9 | 13 | 17 | 43 | 63 | -20 | 40 |
23 | Luton TownLuton | 39 | 10 | 8 | 21 | 35 | 60 | -25 | 38 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 39 | 7 | 13 | 19 | 40 | 77 | -37 | 34 |
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