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Championship | Gameweek 19
Nov 2, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
The DW Stadium
Stoke logo

Wigan
0 - 1
Stoke


Naylor (26')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Tymon (62')
Thompson (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Wigan Athletic and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wigan 0-1 Watford
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 3-1 Stoke
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Wigan Athletic 1-1 Stoke City

Given their recent losing streaks, this could prove to be a war of attrition with confidence getting lower by the game. On this occasion, we feel that a low-scoring share of the spoils is the most likely result, an outcome which would not suit either club. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 37.52%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 34.19% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.86%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (11.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.

Result
Wigan AthleticDrawStoke City
37.52% (-1.493 -1.49) 28.29% (-0.359 -0.36) 34.19% (1.852 1.85)
Both teams to score 46.83% (1.345 1.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.61% (1.511 1.51)59.39% (-1.511 -1.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.23% (1.148 1.15)79.77% (-1.15 -1.15)
Wigan Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.51% (-0.148 -0.15)30.49% (0.146 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.29% (-0.175 -0.18)66.71% (0.172 0.17)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.38% (2.073 2.07)32.62% (-2.075 -2.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.84% (2.261 2.26)69.16% (-2.263 -2.26)
Score Analysis
    Wigan Athletic 37.51%
    Stoke City 34.19%
    Draw 28.29%
Wigan AthleticDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 11.81% (-0.74 -0.74)
2-1 @ 7.86% (-0.066 -0.07)
2-0 @ 7.02% (-0.471 -0.47)
3-1 @ 3.11% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-0 @ 2.78% (-0.199 -0.2)
3-2 @ 1.74% (0.075 0.08)
4-1 @ 0.92% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 37.51%
1-1 @ 13.23% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
0-0 @ 9.95% (-0.575 -0.57)
2-2 @ 4.4% (0.207 0.21)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 28.29%
0-1 @ 11.14%
1-2 @ 7.41% (0.378 0.38)
0-2 @ 6.24% (0.343 0.34)
1-3 @ 2.77% (0.286 0.29)
0-3 @ 2.33% (0.249 0.25)
2-3 @ 1.64% (0.164 0.16)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 34.19%

How you voted: Wigan vs Stoke

Wigan Athletic
34.0%
Draw
28.7%
Stoke City
37.2%
94
Head to Head
Feb 5, 2022 3pm
Stoke
2-0
Wigan
Maja (14'), Brown (62')
Thompson (53'), Wilmot (60')

Kerr (45+2'), Edwards (69')
Edwards (74')
Jul 27, 2021 7.30pm
Wigan
2-1
Stoke
Lang (36'), Humphrys (80')
Ince (43')
Jun 30, 2020 7.45pm
Nov 23, 2019 3pm
Stoke
2-1
Wigan
Batth (55'), Biram Diouf (92')
McClean (41'), Ward (77'), Ndiaye (96')
Morsy (39')
Byrne (54'), Morsy (96')
Aug 13, 2019 7.45pm
Wigan
0-1
Stoke

Mulgrew (24')
Vokes (10')
Woods (63'), Collins (64'), Clucas (65')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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