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Championship | Gameweek 46
May 8, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Den
Blackburn logo

Millwall
3 - 4
Blackburn

Watmore (8', 37'), Burke (39')
Cooper (64')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Wharton (22'), Rankin-Costello (51'), Brereton Diaz (63', 86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Millwall and Blackburn Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Blackpool 2-3 Millwall
Friday, April 28 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackburn 1-1 Luton
Monday, May 1 at 5.30pm in Championship

We said: Millwall 1-2 Blackburn Rovers

Both teams have been far from impressive of late and that leads us to expect a tense affair to play out at The Den. With the shackles needing to come off with Blackburn, that could benefit them, and we would not be surprised to see Rovers snatch victory in the closing stages. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 45.25%. A win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 27.47% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (8.75%). The likeliest Blackburn Rovers win was 0-1 (9.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Blackburn Rovers would win this match.

Result
MillwallDrawBlackburn Rovers
45.25% (0.021000000000001 0.02) 27.28% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 27.47% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 47.18% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.25% (0.00099999999999767 0)57.75% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.51% (0.0010000000000012 0)78.49% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.55% (0.010999999999996 0.01)25.45% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.72% (0.014999999999993 0.01)60.28% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.28% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)36.72% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.49% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)73.51% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 45.24%
    Blackburn Rovers 27.47%
    Draw 27.28%
MillwallDrawBlackburn Rovers
1-0 @ 12.78%
2-1 @ 8.77% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-0 @ 8.75% (0.004999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 4% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-0 @ 3.99% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2%
4-1 @ 1.37% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.37% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 45.24%
1-1 @ 12.81%
0-0 @ 9.35% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 4.39% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 27.28%
0-1 @ 9.36% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-2 @ 6.42% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 4.69% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-3 @ 2.14% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.57% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.47% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 27.47%

How you voted: Millwall vs Blackburn

Millwall
50.0%
Draw
13.2%
Blackburn Rovers
36.8%
38
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2022 3pm
gameweek 12
Blackburn
2-1
Millwall
Dolan (57'), Brereton Diaz (63')
Morton (75')
Cooper (75')
Mar 8, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 33
Blackburn
0-0
Millwall

Cooper (41'), Wallace (67'), Saville (73')
Aug 14, 2021 3pm
gameweek 2
Millwall
1-1
Blackburn
Wallace (64')
Kieftenbeld (60')
Brereton Diaz (76')
Lenihan (52'), Ayala (82')
Mar 6, 2021 3pm
gameweek 35
Millwall
0-2
Blackburn

Woods (43'), Evans (77')
Dack (18'), Gallagher (75')
Brereton (56'), Gallagher (65'), Trybull (77'), Kaminski (85')
Dec 2, 2020 7.45pm
gameweek 15
Blackburn
2-1
Millwall
Elliott (25'), Armstrong (90+1')
Malone (34')
Williams (19'), Wallace (64')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Patriots
3-24
Jets
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom541092713
2Sunderland5401124812
3Blackburn RoversBlackburn5320126611
4Burnley5311113810
5Watford531195410
6Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd53208359
7Oxford UnitedOxford Utd53029639
8Derby CountyDerby53028629
9Leeds UnitedLeeds52217438
10Middlesbrough52216428
11Swansea CitySwansea52125327
12Queens Park RangersQPR513178-16
13Hull City613257-26
14Stoke CityStoke620449-56
15Coventry CityCoventry512256-15
16Norwich CityNorwich512246-25
17Plymouth ArgylePlymouth512259-45
18Bristol City5122611-55
19Millwall51138804
20Luton TownLuton511337-44
21Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds5113510-54
22Preston North EndPreston511339-64
23Portsmouth5032611-53
24Cardiff CityCardiff5014111-101


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