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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 45.25%. A win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 27.47% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (8.75%). The likeliest Blackburn Rovers win was 0-1 (9.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Blackburn Rovers would win this match.
Result | ||
Millwall | Draw | Blackburn Rovers |
45.25% ( 0.02) | 27.28% ( -0) | 27.47% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 47.18% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.25% ( 0) | 57.75% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.51% ( 0) | 78.49% ( -0) |
Millwall Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.55% ( 0.01) | 25.45% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.72% ( 0.01) | 60.28% ( -0.02) |
Blackburn Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.28% ( -0.01) | 36.72% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.49% ( -0.01) | 73.51% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Millwall | Draw | Blackburn Rovers |
1-0 @ 12.78% 2-1 @ 8.77% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.75% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.99% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2% 4-1 @ 1.37% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.37% ( 0) Other @ 2.21% Total : 45.24% | 1-1 @ 12.81% 0-0 @ 9.35% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.39% ( -0) Other @ 0.73% Total : 27.28% | 0-1 @ 9.36% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.42% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.69% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.14% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.57% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.47% ( -0) Other @ 1.83% Total : 27.47% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 31 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 31 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
4 | Burnley | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 27 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Watford | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 25 |
7 | Middlesbrough | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 24 |
8 | Millwall | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 23 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 22 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
12 | Derby CountyDerby | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 19 |
13 | Stoke CityStoke | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 19 |
14 | Norwich CityNorwich | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 18 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 18 |
16 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 17 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 16 |
18 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 16 |
19 | Hull City | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 15 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 15 |
21 | Luton TownLuton | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 15 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 10 |
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