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Championship | Gameweek 46
May 8, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Den
Blackburn logo

Millwall
3 - 4
Blackburn

Watmore (8', 37'), Burke (39')
Cooper (64')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Wharton (22'), Rankin-Costello (51'), Brereton Diaz (63', 86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Millwall and Blackburn Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Blackpool 2-3 Millwall
Friday, April 28 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackburn 1-1 Luton
Monday, May 1 at 5.30pm in Championship

We said: Millwall 1-2 Blackburn Rovers

Both teams have been far from impressive of late and that leads us to expect a tense affair to play out at The Den. With the shackles needing to come off with Blackburn, that could benefit them, and we would not be surprised to see Rovers snatch victory in the closing stages. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 45.25%. A win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 27.47% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (8.75%). The likeliest Blackburn Rovers win was 0-1 (9.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Blackburn Rovers would win this match.

Result
MillwallDrawBlackburn Rovers
45.25% (0.021000000000001 0.02) 27.28% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 27.47% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 47.18% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.25% (0.00099999999999767 0)57.75% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.51% (0.0010000000000012 0)78.49% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.55% (0.010999999999996 0.01)25.45% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.72% (0.014999999999993 0.01)60.28% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.28% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)36.72% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.49% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)73.51% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 45.24%
    Blackburn Rovers 27.47%
    Draw 27.28%
MillwallDrawBlackburn Rovers
1-0 @ 12.78%
2-1 @ 8.77% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-0 @ 8.75% (0.004999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 4% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-0 @ 3.99% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2%
4-1 @ 1.37% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.37% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 45.24%
1-1 @ 12.81%
0-0 @ 9.35% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 4.39% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 27.28%
0-1 @ 9.36% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-2 @ 6.42% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 4.69% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-3 @ 2.14% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.57% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.47% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 27.47%

How you voted: Millwall vs Blackburn

Millwall
Draw
Blackburn Rovers
Millwall
50.0%
Draw
13.2%
Blackburn Rovers
36.8%
38
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2022 3pm
gameweek 12
Blackburn
2-1
Millwall
Dolan (57'), Brereton Diaz (63')
Morton (75')
Cooper (75')
Mar 8, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 33
Blackburn
0-0
Millwall

Cooper (41'), Wallace (67'), Saville (73')
Aug 14, 2021 3pm
gameweek 2
Millwall
1-1
Blackburn
Wallace (64')
Kieftenbeld (60')
Brereton Diaz (76')
Lenihan (52'), Ayala (82')
Mar 6, 2021 3pm
gameweek 35
Millwall
0-2
Blackburn

Woods (43'), Evans (77')
Dack (18'), Gallagher (75')
Brereton (56'), Gallagher (65'), Trybull (77'), Kaminski (85')
Dec 2, 2020 7.45pm
gameweek 15
Blackburn
2-1
Millwall
Elliott (25'), Armstrong (90+1')
Malone (34')
Williams (19'), Wallace (64')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds442713489296094
2Burnley442616261154694
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd452871062352789
4Sunderland4421131058411776
5Bristol City441716115749867
6Coventry CityCoventry44199166257566
7Middlesbrough441891764541063
8Millwall441712154546-163
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn44188185046462
10West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom441418125244860
11Swansea CitySwansea44179184852-460
12Watford44168205158-756
13Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds441511185867-956
14Norwich CityNorwich441314176766153
15Queens Park RangersQPR441314175258-653
16Portsmouth441410205669-1352
17Stoke CityStoke451214194562-1750
18Preston North EndPreston441019154555-1049
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd441213194462-1849
20Hull City441212204352-948
21Derby CountyDerby441210224756-946
22Luton TownLuton441210224164-2346
23Cardiff CityCardiff44916194669-2343
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth441013214885-3743


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