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Plymouth Argyle
Championship | Gameweek 40
Apr 1, 2024 at 3pm UK
Home Park
Bristol City

Plymouth
0 - 1
Bristol City


Devine (54'), Gibson (62'), Houghton (90')
Devine (78')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Wells (57')
Twine (28'), Pring (88'), Wells (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Plymouth Argyle and Bristol City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Norwich 2-1 Plymouth
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Bristol City 1-0 Leicester
Friday, March 29 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Plymouth Argyle 2-1 Bristol City

Regardless of their recent struggles, Plymouth will be targeting Monday's home match as a massive opportunity to earn maximum points in their bid for survival. Bristol City had to be on top form to secure victory over Leicester last time out, although we feel that the Robins' inconsistency is set to strike once more at Home Park. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 42.55%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 31.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.93%) and 0-2 (7.15%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Bristol City in this match.

Result
Plymouth ArgyleDrawBristol City
31.99% (-0.425 -0.42) 25.47% (-0.101 -0.1) 42.55% (0.531 0.53)
Both teams to score 55.07% (0.18 0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.32% (0.302 0.3)48.68% (-0.297 -0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.21% (0.275 0.28)70.8% (-0.268 -0.27)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.31% (-0.125 -0.13)28.69% (0.132 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.49% (-0.15900000000001 -0.16)64.52% (0.16500000000001 0.17)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.22% (0.392 0.39)22.78% (-0.385 -0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.52% (0.571 0.57)56.48% (-0.566 -0.57)
Score Analysis
    Plymouth Argyle 31.99%
    Bristol City 42.55%
    Draw 25.47%
Plymouth ArgyleDrawBristol City
1-0 @ 8.16% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-1 @ 7.54% (-0.061 -0.06)
2-0 @ 5.1% (-0.1 -0.1)
3-1 @ 3.14% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.32% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 2.12% (-0.05 -0.05)
4-1 @ 0.98% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 31.99%
1-1 @ 12.07% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
0-0 @ 6.54% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-2 @ 5.57% (0.018 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.14% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.47%
0-1 @ 9.67% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.93% (0.061999999999999 0.06)
0-2 @ 7.15% (0.076 0.08)
1-3 @ 4.4% (0.079999999999999 0.08)
0-3 @ 3.53% (0.077 0.08)
2-3 @ 2.75% (0.041 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.63% (0.048 0.05)
0-4 @ 1.3% (0.043 0.04)
2-4 @ 1.02% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 42.55%

How you voted: Plymouth vs Bristol City

Plymouth Argyle
42.2%
Draw
20.0%
Bristol City
37.8%
45
Head to Head
Sep 19, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Bristol City
4-1
Plymouth
Bell (3'), James (8'), Sykes (33'), Cornick (80')
Wells (35'), Tanner (67'), Yeboah (90+3')
Randell (26')
Jul 16, 2022 3pm
Club Friendlies
Plymouth
0-1
Bristol City
Wells (82')
Jul 27, 2021 6pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Plymouth
0-1
Bristol City
Weimann (55')
Aug 14, 2018 7.45pm
First Round
Bristol City
0-1
Plymouth

Weimann (86')
Songo'o (27')
Songo'o (17'), Carey (49'), Ladapo (59'), Smith-Brown (67')
Aug 8, 2017 7.45pm
First Round
Bristol City
5-0
Plymouth
Hegeler (2'), Baker (14'), Smith (19'), Hinds (39'), Paterson (79')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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6pm
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9.05pm
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Bills
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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