Championship

Championship | Gameweek 40

Apr 1, 2024 at 3pm UK

Home Park

Plymouth
0 - 1
Bristol City

Devine (54'), Gibson (62'), Houghton (90')
Devine (78')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Wells (57')
Twine (28'), Pring (88'), Wells (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Plymouth Argyle and Bristol City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Plymouth Argyle

All competitions

Last Game: Norwich 2-1 Plymouth
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Bristol City

All competitions

Last Game: Bristol City 1-0 Leicester
Friday, March 29 at 12.30pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Plymouth Argyle 2-1 Bristol City

Regardless of their recent struggles, Plymouth will be targeting Monday's home match as a massive opportunity to earn maximum points in their bid for survival. Bristol City had to be on top form to secure victory over Leicester last time out, although we feel that the Robins' inconsistency is set to strike once more at Home Park. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 42.55%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 31.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.93%) and 0-2 (7.15%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Bristol City in this match.

Result
Plymouth Argyle	Draw	Bristol City
31.99% ( -0.42)	25.47% ( -0.1)	42.55% ( 0.53)

Both teams to score 55.07% (

0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.32% (

0.3)

48.68% (

-0.3)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.21% (

0.28)

70.8% (

-0.27)

Plymouth Argyle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.31% (

-0.13)

28.69% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.49% (

-0.16)

64.52% (

0.17)

Bristol City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.22% (

0.39)

22.78% (

-0.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.52% (

0.57)

56.48% (

-0.57)

Score Analysis

Plymouth Argyle 31.99%

Bristol City 42.55%

Draw 25.47%

Plymouth Argyle	Draw	Bristol City
1-0 @ 8.16% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 7.54% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 5.1% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 3.14% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.32% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.12% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.64% Total : 31.99%	1-1 @ 12.07% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 6.54% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 5.57% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.47%	0-1 @ 9.67% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.93% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 7.15% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 4.4% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 3.53% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 2.75% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.63% ( 0.05) 0-4 @ 1.3% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.17% Total : 42.55%