Championship

Championship | Gameweek 43

Apr 13, 2024 at 3pm UK

The Den

Millwall
3 - 1
Cardiff

Obafemi (9'), Cooper (45+4'), Watmore (90+3')
Longman (69'), Saville (90+1'), Watmore (90+4')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Meite (24')
Collins (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Millwall and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Millwall

All competitions

Last Game: Millwall 1-0 Leicester
Tuesday, April 9 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Cardiff City

All competitions

Last Game: Birmingham 0-1 Cardiff
Wednesday, April 10 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Millwall 1-1 Cardiff City

With Cardiff having little choice but to go for a win, this has the potential to be an entertaining game. However, that may change if Millwall score first, and we feel the visitors could have to accept a low-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 43.15%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 29.9% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 0-1 (9.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Millwall would win this match.

Result
Millwall	Draw	Cardiff City
43.15% ( 0.04)	26.94% ( 0.02)	29.9% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 49.51% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.58% (

-0.08)

55.42% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.38% (

-0.06)

76.62% (

0.06)

Millwall Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.54% (

-0.02)

25.45% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.71% (

-0.02)

60.28% (

0.02)

Cardiff City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.42% (

-0.08)

33.58% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.78% (

-0.09)

70.22% (

0.08)

Score Analysis

Millwall 43.15%

Cardiff City 29.9%

Draw 26.94%

Millwall	Draw	Cardiff City
1-0 @ 11.69% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.73% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.98% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.65% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.17% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.36% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.25% ( 0) Other @ 2.31% Total : 43.15%	1-1 @ 12.76% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.55% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.77% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.87% Total : 26.94%	0-1 @ 9.33% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.96% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.09% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.4% Total : 29.9%