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Championship | Gameweek 23
Dec 26, 2024 at 3pm UK
Carrow Road
Millwall logo

Norwich
vs.
Millwall

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Championship clash between Norwich City and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sunderland 2-1 Norwich
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 1-0 Blackburn
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in Championship

We say: Norwich City 2-1 Millwall

While Norwich are experiencing a difficult run of form, they tend to perform well in home games with Millwall, and we think they will do enough to claim a narrow victory to extend their unbeaten record head-to-head home meetings to 21 matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Norwich City win with a probability of 45.48%. A win for Millwall has a probability of 28.5% and a draw has a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (8.22%). The likeliest Millwall win is 0-1 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.37%).

Result
Norwich CityDrawMillwall
45.48% (-0.269 -0.27) 26.02% (0.624 0.62) 28.5% (-0.36 -0.36)
Both teams to score 51.51% (-2.183 -2.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.52% (-2.74 -2.74)52.47% (2.735 2.74)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.85% (-2.403 -2.4)74.14% (2.396 2.4)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.98% (-1.284 -1.28)23.02% (1.279 1.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.17% (-1.92 -1.92)56.83% (1.915 1.92)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.91% (-1.696 -1.7)33.08% (1.689 1.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.32% (-1.918 -1.92)69.68% (1.914 1.91)
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 45.47%
    Millwall 28.5%
    Draw 26.02%
Norwich CityDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 11.18% (0.77 0.77)
2-1 @ 9.09% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-0 @ 8.22% (0.269 0.27)
3-1 @ 4.45% (-0.235 -0.24)
3-0 @ 4.02% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.46% (-0.252 -0.25)
4-1 @ 1.63% (-0.153 -0.15)
4-0 @ 1.48% (-0.066 -0.07)
4-2 @ 0.9% (-0.131 -0.13)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 45.47%
1-1 @ 12.37% (0.31 0.31)
0-0 @ 7.62% (0.791 0.79)
2-2 @ 5.03% (-0.308 -0.31)
3-3 @ 0.91% (-0.141 -0.14)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.02%
0-1 @ 8.42% (0.517 0.52)
1-2 @ 6.84% (-0.147 -0.15)
0-2 @ 4.66% (0.079 0.08)
1-3 @ 2.52% (-0.176 -0.18)
2-3 @ 1.85% (-0.207 -0.21)
0-3 @ 1.72% (-0.051 -0.05)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 28.5%

Who will win Thursday's Championship clash between Norwich and Millwall?

Norwich City
Draw
Millwall
Norwich City
56.3%
Draw
25.0%
Millwall
18.8%
16
Head to Head
Dec 29, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Millwall
1-0
Norwich
Bradshaw (18')
Cooper (61'), Honeyman (81'), Watmore (90+1'), Leonard (90+2')
Saville (88')

Barnes (60'), McLean (75'), Sargent (81'), Idah (90+3'), Nunez (90+8')
Aug 20, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 3
Norwich
3-1
Millwall
Rowe (25'), Sargent (49'), Barnes (56')
Rowe (45+1'), Omobamidele (90+3')
Emakhu (90+1')
Mitchell (45+1')
Mar 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 35
Millwall
2-3
Norwich
Bradshaw (20'), Flemming (83')
Sorensen (38'), Bradshaw (55' og.), Sara (65')
Aug 19, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 5
Norwich
2-0
Millwall
Sargent (50', 75')
Gibbs (84'), Krul (90+2')

Saville (19'), Honeyman (66')
Feb 2, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 26
Millwall
0-0
Norwich
McLean (83'), (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom22811326161035
8Watford2110473028234
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
12Bristol City226972628-227
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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