MX23RW : Sunday, January 26 06:14:07| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Championship header 2

Championship
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Championship | Gameweek 23
Dec 26, 2024 at 3pm UK
Carrow Road
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Norwich
2 - 1
Millwall

Marcondes (4'), Schwartau (39')
Ben Slimane (62'), Schwartau (82')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Esse (65')
Leonard (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Championship clash between Norwich City and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Norwich City

All competitions
Last Game: Sunderland 2-1 Norwich
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in Championship

Millwall

All competitions
Last Game: Millwall 1-0 Blackburn
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Norwich City 2-1 Millwall

 While Norwich are experiencing a difficult run of form, they tend to perform well in home games with Millwall, and we think that they will do enough to claim a narrow victory to extend their unbeaten record head-to-head home meetings to 21 matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 45.12%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 28.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (8.04%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Norwich City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Norwich City.

Result
Norwich CityDrawMillwall
45.12% (-0.353 -0.35) 25.89% (-0.132 -0.13) 28.99% (0.485 0.48)
Both teams to score 52.23% (0.716 0.72)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.31% (0.785 0.78)51.69% (-0.786 -0.79)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.53% (0.679 0.68)73.46% (-0.678 -0.68)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.15% (0.172 0.17)22.84% (-0.173 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.42% (0.252 0.25)56.57% (-0.253 -0.25)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.69% (0.77799999999999 0.78)32.31% (-0.777 -0.78)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.19% (0.868 0.87)68.81% (-0.869 -0.87)
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 45.12%
    Millwall 28.99%
    Draw 25.88%
Norwich CityDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 10.89% (-0.29 -0.29)
2-1 @ 9.09% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 8.04% (-0.172 -0.17)
3-1 @ 4.47% (0.024 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.96% (-0.064 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.53% (0.066 0.07)
4-1 @ 1.65% (0.017 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.46% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-2 @ 0.93% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 45.12%
1-1 @ 12.31% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
0-0 @ 7.38% (-0.234 -0.23)
2-2 @ 5.14% (0.109 0.11)
3-3 @ 0.95% (0.045 0.04)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.88%
0-1 @ 8.34% (-0.083 -0.08)
1-2 @ 6.96% (0.113 0.11)
0-2 @ 4.71% (0.052 0.05)
1-3 @ 2.62% (0.097 0.1)
2-3 @ 1.93% (0.081 0.08)
0-3 @ 1.77% (0.056 0.06)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 28.99%

How you voted: Norwich vs Millwall

Norwich City
64.5%
Draw
19.7%
Millwall
15.8%
76
Head to Head
Dec 29, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Millwall
1-0
Norwich
Bradshaw (18')
Cooper (61'), Honeyman (81'), Watmore (90+1'), Leonard (90+2')
Saville (88')

Barnes (60'), McLean (75'), Sargent (81'), Idah (90+3'), Nunez (90+8')
> Preview
Aug 20, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 3
Norwich
3-1
Millwall
Rowe (25'), Sargent (49'), Barnes (56')
Rowe (45+1'), Omobamidele (90+3')
Emakhu (90+1')
Mitchell (45+1')
> Preview
Mar 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 35
Millwall
2-3
Norwich
Bradshaw (20'), Flemming (83')
Sorensen (38'), Bradshaw (55' og.), Sara (65')
> Preview
Aug 19, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 5
Norwich
2-0
Millwall
Sargent (50', 75')
Gibbs (84'), Krul (90+2')

Saville (19'), Honeyman (66')
> Preview
Feb 2, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 26
Millwall
0-0
Norwich
Kieftenbeld (87')
McLean (83'), (89')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds28178353193459
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd29186540211958
3Burnley28151123692756
4Sunderland291510442241855
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom291014538251344
6Middlesbrough29128947361144
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn29126113228442
8Bristol City29101183734341
9Watford29125124041-141
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds29118104245-341
11Norwich CityNorwich29109104842639
12Coventry CityCoventry29108113938138
13Queens Park RangersQPR2991193237-538
14Preston North EndPreston2981383236-437
15Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2999113343-1036
16Millwall28810102726134
17Swansea CitySwansea2997133240-834
18Cardiff CityCardiff29710123344-1131
19Hull City2978143038-829
20Stoke CityStoke29611122636-1029
21Portsmouth2878133651-1529
22Derby CountyDerby2976163240-827
23Luton TownLuton2975172948-1926
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth29410152762-3522
> Championship Full Table


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