Championship

Championship | Gameweek 25

Dec 29, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

The Den

Millwall
1 - 0
Norwich

Bradshaw (18')
Cooper (61'), Honeyman (81'), Watmore (90+1'), Leonard (90+2')
Saville (88')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Barnes (60'), McLean (75'), Sargent (81'), Idah (90+3'), Nunez (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Millwall and Norwich City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Millwall

All competitions

Last Game: Millwall 2-0 QPR
Tuesday, December 26 at 1pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Norwich City

All competitions

Last Game: West Brom 1-0 Norwich
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Millwall 1-2 Norwich City

Millwall will bring a three-game unbeaten run into this match, while Norwich suffered a defeat last time out, but we are expecting the away side to triumph here considering their quality in the forward positions. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 43.72%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 30.08% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 0-1 (8.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Millwall in this match.

Result
Millwall	Draw	Norwich City
43.72% ( 0.03)	26.21% ( -0.01)	30.08% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 51.83% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.52% (

0.05)

52.48% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.85% (

0.05)

74.15% (

-0.04)

Millwall Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.14% (

0.04)

23.86% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.95% (

0.05)

58.05% (

-0.05)

Norwich City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.08% (

0.02)

31.92% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.63% (

0.02)

68.37% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Millwall 43.72%

Norwich City 30.08%

Draw 26.2%

Millwall	Draw	Norwich City
1-0 @ 10.91% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.93% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.82% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.27% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.74% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.44% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.53% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.34% ( 0) Other @ 2.76% Total : 43.72%	1-1 @ 12.46% 0-0 @ 7.62% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.1% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.2%	0-1 @ 8.7% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.12% 0-2 @ 4.97% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.71% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.94% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.89% ( -0) Other @ 2.76% Total : 30.08%