We said: Oxford United 2-1 Cardiff City
Oxford have significantly fewer injury concerns than Cardiff, and they are likely to come into the game energised by the arrival of their new manager.
It is difficult to see either side keeping a clean sheet given their poor form of late, but Oxford could be buoyed by their home crowd to a victory.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 40.84%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 33.08% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.69%) and 0-2 (7.04%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 1-0 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.