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Oxford United
Championship | Gameweek 23
Dec 26, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
Cardiff City logo

Oxford Utd
3 - 2
Cardiff

Harris (41'), Brown (53'), Placheta (57')
Dembele (83')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ashford (82'), Robinson (90+4')
Robertson (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Championship clash between Oxford United and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leeds 4-0 Oxford Utd
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Cardiff 0-2 Sheff Utd
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Oxford United 2-1 Cardiff City

Oxford have significantly fewer injury concerns than Cardiff, and they are likely to come into the game energised by the arrival of their new manager. It is difficult to see either side keeping a clean sheet given their poor form of late, but Oxford could be buoyed by their home crowd to a victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 40.84%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 33.08% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.69%) and 0-2 (7.04%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 1-0 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawCardiff City
33.08% (-0.394 -0.39) 26.08% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09) 40.84% (0.485 0.48)
Both teams to score 53.43% (0.195 0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.04% (0.298 0.3)50.95% (-0.299 -0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.17% (0.262 0.26)72.82% (-0.262 -0.26)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.9% (-0.10599999999999 -0.11)29.1% (0.105 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.97% (-0.13200000000001 -0.13)65.02% (0.13200000000001 0.13)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.37% (0.387 0.39)24.63% (-0.387 -0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.85% (0.54 0.54)59.14% (-0.538 -0.54)
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 33.08%
    Cardiff City 40.84%
    Draw 26.07%
Oxford UnitedDrawCardiff City
1-0 @ 8.85% (-0.133 -0.13)
2-1 @ 7.65% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-0 @ 5.46% (-0.098 -0.1)
3-1 @ 3.15% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-0 @ 2.25% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.21% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 0.97% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 33.08%
1-1 @ 12.39% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
0-0 @ 7.17% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
2-2 @ 5.36% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.03% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.07%
0-1 @ 10.04% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.69% (0.064 0.06)
0-2 @ 7.04% (0.073 0.07)
1-3 @ 4.06% (0.075 0.08)
0-3 @ 3.29% (0.07 0.07)
2-3 @ 2.5% (0.039 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.42% (0.042 0.04)
0-4 @ 1.15% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 40.84%

How you voted: Oxford Utd vs Cardiff

Oxford United
56.1%
Draw
24.6%
Cardiff City
19.3%
57
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds28178353193459
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd28186440182258
3Burnley28151123692756
4Sunderland28159440221854
5Middlesbrough28128846341244
6Blackburn RoversBlackburn28126103126542
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2891453324941
8Watford28125113939041
9Bristol City2891183533238
10Queens Park RangersQPR2891183235-338
11Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds28108104045-538
12Norwich CityNorwich2899104341236
13Coventry CityCoventry2898113737035
14Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2898113343-1035
15Swansea CitySwansea2897123135-434
16Preston North EndPreston2871383035-534
17Millwall27710102626031
18Portsmouth2778123546-1129
19Stoke CityStoke28610122636-1028
20Cardiff CityCardiff28610123143-1228
21Derby CountyDerby2876153138-727
22Hull City2868142738-1126
23Luton TownLuton2875162947-1826
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2849152560-3521


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