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Championship header 2

Championship
Bristol City
Championship | Gameweek 37
Mar 10, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Ashton Gate Stadium
Swansea logo

Bristol City
1 - 0
Swansea

Dickie (73')
Sykes (71'), Wells (88')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Tymon (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Championship clash between Bristol City and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bristol City

All competitions
Last Game: Ipswich 3-2 Bristol City
Tuesday, March 5 at 8pm in Championship

Swansea City

All competitions
Last Game: Watford 1-1 Swansea
Wednesday, March 6 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Bristol City 1-1 Swansea City

 Despite their mid-table status, there may be some nerves on show at Ashton Gate as each team looks to move further clear of the bottom three. However, given the competitive nature when these two teams meet, do not be surprised to see a low-scoring draw play out. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 38.89%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 35.1% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (6.57%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 0-1 (9.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bristol City in this match.

Result
Bristol CityDrawSwansea City
38.89% (0.16500000000001 0.17) 26.01% (0.289 0.29) 35.1% (-0.44900000000001 -0.45)
Both teams to score 54.08% (-1.034 -1.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.68% (-1.301 -1.3)50.32% (1.306 1.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.74% (-1.165 -1.17)72.26% (1.17 1.17)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.63% (-0.504 -0.5)25.37% (0.509 0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.83% (-0.698 -0.7)60.17% (0.70200000000001 0.7)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.47% (-0.886 -0.89)27.53% (0.891 0.89)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.96% (-1.16 -1.16)63.04% (1.165 1.17)
Score Analysis
    Bristol City 38.89%
    Swansea City 35.1%
    Draw 26%
Bristol CityDrawSwansea City
1-0 @ 9.58% (0.361 0.36)
2-1 @ 8.47% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.57% (0.155 0.16)
3-1 @ 3.87% (-0.062 -0.06)
3-0 @ 3% (0.027 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.5% (-0.105 -0.11)
4-1 @ 1.33% (-0.042 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.03% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 38.89%
1-1 @ 12.35% (0.16 0.16)
0-0 @ 6.99% (0.361 0.36)
2-2 @ 5.47% (-0.147 -0.15)
3-3 @ 1.07% (-0.074 -0.07)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 26%
0-1 @ 9.01% (0.249 0.25)
1-2 @ 7.97% (-0.095 -0.09)
0-2 @ 5.81% (0.016 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.43% (-0.129 -0.13)
0-3 @ 2.5% (-0.057 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.35% (-0.124 -0.12)
1-4 @ 1.11% (-0.071 -0.07)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 35.1%

How you voted: Bristol City vs Swansea

Bristol City
30.8%
Draw
38.5%
Swansea City
30.8%
13
Head to Head
Sep 2, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 5
Swansea
1-2
Bristol City
Cullen (10')
Naughton (45+2'), Ginnelly (57'), Paterson (90')
Sykes (48'), Bell (59')
Naismith (45+3'), Dickie (86')
> Preview
Mar 19, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 38
Swansea
2-0
Bristol City
Cullen (34'), Ntcham (77')
> Preview
Jan 17, 2023 7.45pm
Third Round Replays
Swansea
1-2
Bristol City
Cooper (73')
Sykes (62'), Bell (112')
> Preview
Jan 8, 2023 12.30pm
Third Round
Bristol City
1-1
Swansea
Semenyo (75')
Piroe (15')
> Preview
Oct 29, 2022 12pm
Gameweek 18
Bristol City
1-1
Swansea
Conway (24')
Ntcham (76')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310
> Championship Full Table


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