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Championship | Gameweek 38
Apr 27, 2023 at 8pm UK
AESSEAL New York Stadium
Cardiff City logo

Rotherham
1 - 2
Cardiff

Ogbene (37')
Rathbone (59')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Etete (11'), Kipre (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Championship clash between Rotherham United and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bristol City 2-1 Rotherham
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Cardiff 1-1 Stoke
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Rotherham United 1-1 Cardiff City

While each team knows the benefits of a win on Saturday, they are equally aware that they can ill-afford a defeat. With that in mind, do not be surprised to see a competitive low-scoring draw play out at the New York Stadium. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 37.99%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 34.85% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.18%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 0-1 (10.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result
Rotherham UnitedDrawCardiff City
37.99% (0.125 0.13) 27.16% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01) 34.85% (-0.11600000000001 -0.12)
Both teams to score 50.32% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.92% (0.021999999999998 0.02)55.08% (-0.023999999999994 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.66% (0.019000000000002 0.02)76.33% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Rotherham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.89% (0.079999999999998 0.08)28.11% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.22% (0.104 0.1)63.78% (-0.104 -0.1)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.99% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)30.01% (0.061 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.87% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)66.13% (0.075000000000003 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Rotherham United 37.98%
    Cardiff City 34.85%
    Draw 27.16%
Rotherham UnitedDrawCardiff City
1-0 @ 10.7% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.18% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
2-0 @ 6.79% (0.025 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.46% (0.015 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.87% (0.017 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.08% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.1% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 0.91% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 37.98%
1-1 @ 12.88%
0-0 @ 8.43% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.92% (0.0020000000000007 0)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 27.16%
0-1 @ 10.15% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.75% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.11% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.11% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.45% (-0.015 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.97% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 0.94% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 34.85%

How you voted: Rotherham vs Cardiff

Rotherham United
31.9%
Draw
34.0%
Cardiff City
34.0%
94
Head to Head
Oct 29, 2022 3pm
May 8, 2021 12.30pm
gameweek 46
Cardiff
1-1
Rotherham
Pack (88')
Ralls (52')
Wing (8')
Ihiekwe (39'), Wiles (70')
Feb 9, 2021 7pm
gameweek 23
Rotherham
1-2
Cardiff
Crooks (61')
Ojo (42'), Bennett (85')
Jul 25, 2018 7.45pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Rotherham
2-1
Cardiff
Palmer (31'), Smith (78')
Murphy (13')
Feb 18, 2017 3pm
Cardiff
5-0
Rotherham
Harris (11'), Hoilett (45'), Noone (49'), Zohore (54', 83')

Forde (63'), Belaid (81')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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