MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 04:39:00| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Championship | Gameweek 43
Apr 19, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Vicarage Road
Cardiff City logo

Watford
1 - 3
Cardiff

Sarr (11')
Hoedt (40'), Davis (74'), Ngakia (77')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Etete (31'), Kipre (35'), Kaba (42')
Etete (39'), Ralls (57'), O'Dowda (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Watford and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Watford 2-0 Bristol City
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Sheff Utd 4-1 Cardiff
Saturday, April 15 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Watford 2-0 Cardiff City

Cardiff have lost all momentum under Lamouchi at the wrong time when Watford may be increasingly optimistic about a late charge. With that in mind, we are backing the home side to produce a professional performance to record three points and a clean sheet. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 55.1%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 20.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.48%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.52%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 0-1 (6.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.

Result
WatfordDrawCardiff City
55.1% (0.265 0.27) 24.28% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06) 20.62% (-0.204 -0.2)
Both teams to score 48.77% (-0.113 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.87%52.13% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.15% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)73.85% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.18% (0.102 0.1)18.81% (-0.101 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.76% (0.17 0.17)50.24% (-0.17 -0.17)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.07% (-0.214 -0.21)39.93% (0.215 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.41% (-0.196 -0.2)76.58% (0.19799999999999 0.2)
Score Analysis
    Watford 55.09%
    Cardiff City 20.62%
    Draw 24.28%
WatfordDrawCardiff City
1-0 @ 12.54% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-0 @ 10.48% (0.07 0.07)
2-1 @ 9.62% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.84% (0.057 0.06)
3-1 @ 5.36% (0.02 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.46% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 2.44% (0.031 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.24% (0.015 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.03% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 55.09%
1-1 @ 11.52% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 7.51%
2-2 @ 4.42% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 24.28%
0-1 @ 6.9% (-0.04 -0.04)
1-2 @ 5.29% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-2 @ 3.17% (-0.037 -0.04)
1-3 @ 1.62% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.35% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-3 @ 0.97% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 1.32%
Total : 20.62%

How you voted: Watford vs Cardiff

Watford
83.3%
Draw
9.3%
Cardiff City
7.4%
54
Head to Head
Nov 2, 2022 7.45pm
Mar 13, 2021 3pm
Cardiff
1-2
Watford
Sierralta (14' og.)
Bacuna (81'), Ng (90+2')
Chalobah (15'), Masina (90+3')
Bachmann (39'), Hughes (45+1'), Sarr (82'), Sierralta (85')
Dec 5, 2020 3pm
Watford
0-1
Cardiff

Perica (89')
Moore (43')
Ojo (60'), Ralls (66')
Feb 22, 2019 7.45pm
Cardiff
1-5
Watford
Bamba (82')
Paterson (85')
Deulofeu (18', 61', 63'), Deeney (73', 91')
Capoue (30'), Pereyra (55')
Dec 15, 2018 3pm
Watford
3-2
Cardiff
Deulofeu (16'), Holebas (52'), Quina (68')
Hoilett (80'), Reid (82')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd21145230111945
2Leeds UnitedLeeds21126337152242
3Burnley2111822681841
4Sunderland21117332171540
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2011452517837
6Middlesbrough21104735251034
7Watford2010462926334
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds218582630-429
10Swansea CitySwansea217682322127
11Bristol City216962626027
12Norwich CityNorwich216873632426
13Millwall206772018225
14Derby CountyDerby216692626024
15Coventry CityCoventry216692730-324
16Preston North EndPreston2141162127-623
17Stoke CityStoke215792328-522
18Queens Park RangersQPR2141072127-622
19Luton TownLuton2164112337-1422
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2046102133-1218
21Cardiff CityCardiff2046101932-1318
22Portsmouth193882134-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2045111942-2317
24Hull City2137111930-1116


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