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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 55.1%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 20.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.48%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.52%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 0-1 (6.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Watford | Draw | Cardiff City |
55.1% ( 0.27) | 24.28% ( -0.06) | 20.62% ( -0.2) |
Both teams to score 48.77% ( -0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.87% | 52.13% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.15% ( -0) | 73.85% ( 0) |
Watford Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.18% ( 0.1) | 18.81% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.76% ( 0.17) | 50.24% ( -0.17) |
Cardiff City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.07% ( -0.21) | 39.93% ( 0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.41% ( -0.2) | 76.58% ( 0.2) |
Score Analysis |
Watford | Draw | Cardiff City |
1-0 @ 12.54% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 10.48% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.62% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.84% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 5.36% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.46% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.44% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.24% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.03% ( 0) Other @ 3.09% Total : 55.09% | 1-1 @ 11.52% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.51% 2-2 @ 4.42% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.83% Total : 24.28% | 0-1 @ 6.9% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 5.29% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 3.17% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.32% Total : 20.62% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |