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Championship | Gameweek 43
Apr 19, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Vicarage Road
Cardiff City logo

Watford
1 - 3
Cardiff

Sarr (11')
Hoedt (40'), Davis (74'), Ngakia (77')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Etete (31'), Kipre (35'), Kaba (42')
Etete (39'), Ralls (57'), O'Dowda (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Watford and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Watford 2-0 Bristol City
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Sheff Utd 4-1 Cardiff
Saturday, April 15 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Watford 2-0 Cardiff City

Cardiff have lost all momentum under Lamouchi at the wrong time when Watford may be increasingly optimistic about a late charge. With that in mind, we are backing the home side to produce a professional performance to record three points and a clean sheet. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 55.1%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 20.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.48%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.52%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 0-1 (6.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.

Result
WatfordDrawCardiff City
55.1% (0.265 0.27) 24.28% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06) 20.62% (-0.204 -0.2)
Both teams to score 48.77% (-0.113 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.87%52.13% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.15% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)73.85% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.18% (0.102 0.1)18.81% (-0.101 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.76% (0.17 0.17)50.24% (-0.17 -0.17)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.07% (-0.214 -0.21)39.93% (0.215 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.41% (-0.196 -0.2)76.58% (0.19799999999999 0.2)
Score Analysis
    Watford 55.09%
    Cardiff City 20.62%
    Draw 24.28%
WatfordDrawCardiff City
1-0 @ 12.54% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-0 @ 10.48% (0.07 0.07)
2-1 @ 9.62% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.84% (0.057 0.06)
3-1 @ 5.36% (0.02 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.46% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 2.44% (0.031 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.24% (0.015 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.03% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 55.09%
1-1 @ 11.52% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 7.51%
2-2 @ 4.42% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 24.28%
0-1 @ 6.9% (-0.04 -0.04)
1-2 @ 5.29% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-2 @ 3.17% (-0.037 -0.04)
1-3 @ 1.62% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.35% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-3 @ 0.97% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 1.32%
Total : 20.62%

How you voted: Watford vs Cardiff

Watford
83.3%
Draw
9.3%
Cardiff City
7.4%
54
Head to Head
Nov 2, 2022 7.45pm
Mar 13, 2021 3pm
Cardiff
1-2
Watford
Sierralta (14' og.)
Bacuna (81'), Ng (90+2')
Chalobah (15'), Masina (90+3')
Bachmann (39'), Hughes (45+1'), Sarr (82'), Sierralta (85')
Dec 5, 2020 3pm
Watford
0-1
Cardiff

Perica (89')
Moore (43')
Ojo (60'), Ralls (66')
Feb 22, 2019 7.45pm
Cardiff
1-5
Watford
Bamba (82')
Paterson (85')
Deulofeu (18', 61', 63'), Deeney (73', 91')
Capoue (30'), Pereyra (55')
Dec 15, 2018 3pm
Watford
3-2
Cardiff
Deulofeu (16'), Holebas (52'), Quina (68')
Hoilett (80'), Reid (82')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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