Championship

Championship | Gameweek 33

Feb 18, 2023 at 3pm UK

Riverside Stadium

Middlesbrough
3 - 1
QPR

Akpom (64', 77'), McGree (90+2')
Akpom (65')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Chair (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Queens Park Rangers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Middlesbrough

All competitions

Last Game: Sheff Utd 1-3 Middlesbrough
Wednesday, February 15 at 8pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Queens Park Rangers

All competitions

Last Game: QPR 0-3 Sunderland
Tuesday, February 14 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Middlesbrough 3-0 Queens Park Rangers

As we have learned in the Championship over years gone by, anything can happen, and it would be naive to completely rule out QPR. However, these two clubs are clearly on different trajectories right now, and we can only back another convincing victory for Boro. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 57.9%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 18.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.14%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%), while for a Queens Park Rangers win it was 0-1 (6.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result
Middlesbrough	Draw	Queens Park Rangers
57.9% ( 0.05)	23.53% ( -0.01)	18.58% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 47.8% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.25% (

-0.02)

51.75% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.48% (

-0.02)

73.52% (

0.02)

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.37% (

0.01)

17.63% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.77% (

0.02)

48.24% (

-0.02)

Queens Park Rangers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.04% (

-0.06)

41.96% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.6% (

-0.05)

78.4% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Middlesbrough 57.9%

Queens Park Rangers 18.58%

Draw 23.52%

Middlesbrough	Draw	Queens Park Rangers
1-0 @ 12.84% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 11.14% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.68% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.45% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.6% 4-0 @ 2.8% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.43% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.43% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.05% ( -0) 5-0 @ 0.97% ( 0) Other @ 2.52% Total : 57.9%	1-1 @ 11.15% 0-0 @ 7.4% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.2% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.77% Total : 23.52%	0-1 @ 6.43% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.84% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.79% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.22% ( -0) Other @ 1.9% Total : 18.58%