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Championship | Gameweek 33
Feb 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
Riverside Stadium
QPR logo

Middlesbrough
3 - 1
QPR

Akpom (64', 77'), McGree (90+2')
Akpom (65')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Chair (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Queens Park Rangers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sheff Utd 1-3 Middlesbrough
Wednesday, February 15 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: QPR 0-3 Sunderland
Tuesday, February 14 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Middlesbrough 3-0 Queens Park Rangers

As we have learned in the Championship over years gone by, anything can happen, and it would be naive to completely rule out QPR. However, these two clubs are clearly on different trajectories right now, and we can only back another convincing victory for Boro. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 57.9%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 18.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.14%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%), while for a Queens Park Rangers win it was 0-1 (6.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawQueens Park Rangers
57.9% (0.050000000000004 0.05) 23.53% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 18.58% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Both teams to score 47.8% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.25% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)51.75% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.48% (-0.02 -0.02)73.52% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.37% (0.010999999999996 0.01)17.63% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.77% (0.018000000000001 0.02)48.24% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Queens Park Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.04% (-0.061 -0.06)41.96% (0.061 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.6% (-0.052 -0.05)78.4% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 57.9%
    Queens Park Rangers 18.58%
    Draw 23.52%
MiddlesbroughDrawQueens Park Rangers
1-0 @ 12.84% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 11.14% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.68% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 6.45% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.6%
4-0 @ 2.8% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.43% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 2.43% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.05% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 0.97% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 57.9%
1-1 @ 11.15%
0-0 @ 7.4% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.2% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 23.52%
0-1 @ 6.43% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-2 @ 4.84% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.79% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.4% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.22% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 18.58%

How you voted: Middlesbrough vs QPR

Middlesbrough
92.9%
Draw
3.6%
Queens Park Rangers
3.6%
28
Head to Head
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
QPR
3-2
Middlesbrough
Willock (13'), Dunne (27'), Dykes (38')
Johansen (77'), Kakay (90+1')
Crooks (41'), Forss (56')
Forss (17'), Bola (73')
Lenihan (90+2')
Feb 9, 2022 7.45pm
QPR
2-2
Middlesbrough
Chair (29'), Willock (46')
Fry (45+2'), Adomah (60' og.)
Howson (84')
Aug 18, 2021 7.45pm
Middlesbrough
2-3
QPR
Ikpeazu (7' pen.), Crooks (72')
Jones (54'), Payero (90+7')
Howson (48' og.), Dykes (56'), Willock (76')
Odubajo (38'), Odubajo (50'), Johansen (90+2')
Apr 17, 2021 12.30pm
Middlesbrough
1-2
QPR
Bolasie (28')
Dickie (15'), Wallace (18')
Kakay (31')
Dieng (58')
Sep 26, 2020 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd21145230111945
2Leeds UnitedLeeds21126337152242
3Burnley2111822681841
4Sunderland21117332171540
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2011452517837
6Middlesbrough21104735251034
7Watford2010462926334
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds218582630-429
10Swansea CitySwansea217682322127
11Bristol City216962626027
12Norwich CityNorwich216873632426
13Millwall206772018225
14Derby CountyDerby216692626024
15Coventry CityCoventry216692730-324
16Preston North EndPreston2141162127-623
17Stoke CityStoke215792328-522
18Queens Park RangersQPR2141072127-622
19Luton TownLuton2164112337-1422
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2046102133-1218
21Cardiff CityCardiff2046101932-1318
22Portsmouth193882134-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2045111942-2317
24Hull City2137111930-1116


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