Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 42.34%. A win for Rotherham United had a probability of 30.1% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.52%) and 0-2 (8.02%). The likeliest Rotherham United win was 1-0 (9.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swansea City would win this match.