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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 38.02%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 36.19% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.39%) and 0-2 (6.3%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-0 (8.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Southampton would win this match.
Result | ||
Southampton | Draw | West Bromwich Albion |
36.19% ( 0.05) | 25.79% ( 0.36) | 38.02% ( -0.42) |
Both teams to score 54.94% ( -1.26) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.74% ( -1.63) | 49.26% ( 1.62) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.68% ( -1.48) | 71.31% ( 1.48) |
Southampton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.61% ( -0.73) | 26.39% ( 0.73) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.46% ( -0.98) | 61.54% ( 0.98) |
West Bromwich Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.64% ( -0.97) | 25.36% ( 0.96) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.85% ( -1.35) | 60.15% ( 1.34) |
Score Analysis |
Southampton | Draw | West Bromwich Albion |
1-0 @ 8.92% ( 0.4) 2-1 @ 8.15% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 5.94% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 3.62% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 2.64% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.48% ( -0.13) 4-1 @ 1.21% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.24% Total : 36.19% | 1-1 @ 12.23% ( 0.22) 0-0 @ 6.69% ( 0.43) 2-2 @ 5.59% ( -0.17) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.79% | 0-1 @ 9.18% ( 0.35) 1-2 @ 8.39% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 6.3% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 3.84% ( -0.15) 0-3 @ 2.88% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.56% ( -0.15) 1-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.09) 0-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.57% Total : 38.02% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 29 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 22 | 8 | 14 | 26 |
3 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 25 |
4 | Burnley | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 23 |
5 | Watford | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 22 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 21 |
7 | Millwall | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 19 |
8 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 19 |
9 | Bristol City | 13 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 19 |
10 | Norwich CityNorwich | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 18 |
11 | Middlesbrough | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 18 |
12 | Swansea CitySwansea | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 16 |
13 | Coventry CityCoventry | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 15 |
14 | Derby CountyDerby | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 15 |
15 | Hull City | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 15 |
16 | Stoke CityStoke | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 15 |
17 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 15 |
18 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 15 |
19 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 14 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 14 |
21 | Luton TownLuton | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 12 |
22 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 12 |
23 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 13 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 10 |
24 | Portsmouth | 13 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 9 |
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