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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 38.02%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 36.19% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.39%) and 0-2 (6.3%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-0 (8.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Southampton would win this match.
Result | ||
Southampton | Draw | West Bromwich Albion |
36.19% ( 0.05) | 25.79% ( 0.36) | 38.02% ( -0.42) |
Both teams to score 54.94% ( -1.26) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.74% ( -1.63) | 49.26% ( 1.62) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.68% ( -1.48) | 71.31% ( 1.48) |
Southampton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.61% ( -0.73) | 26.39% ( 0.73) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.46% ( -0.98) | 61.54% ( 0.98) |
West Bromwich Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.64% ( -0.97) | 25.36% ( 0.96) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.85% ( -1.35) | 60.15% ( 1.34) |
Score Analysis |
Southampton | Draw | West Bromwich Albion |
1-0 @ 8.92% ( 0.4) 2-1 @ 8.15% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 5.94% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 3.62% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 2.64% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.48% ( -0.13) 4-1 @ 1.21% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.24% Total : 36.19% | 1-1 @ 12.23% ( 0.22) 0-0 @ 6.69% ( 0.43) 2-2 @ 5.59% ( -0.17) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.79% | 0-1 @ 9.18% ( 0.35) 1-2 @ 8.39% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 6.3% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 3.84% ( -0.15) 0-3 @ 2.88% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.56% ( -0.15) 1-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.09) 0-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.57% Total : 38.02% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 29 | 17 | 9 | 3 | 53 | 19 | 34 | 60 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 29 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 58 |
3 | Burnley | 29 | 15 | 12 | 2 | 36 | 9 | 27 | 57 |
4 | Sunderland | 29 | 15 | 10 | 4 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 55 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 34 | 29 | 5 | 45 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 29 | 10 | 14 | 5 | 38 | 25 | 13 | 44 |
7 | Middlesbrough | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 47 | 36 | 11 | 44 |
8 | Bristol City | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 41 |
9 | Watford | 29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 40 | 41 | -1 | 41 |
10 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 41 |
11 | Norwich CityNorwich | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 48 | 42 | 6 | 39 |
12 | Coventry CityCoventry | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 39 | 38 | 1 | 38 |
13 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 29 | 9 | 11 | 9 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 38 |
14 | Millwall | 29 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 37 |
15 | Preston North EndPreston | 30 | 8 | 13 | 9 | 33 | 38 | -5 | 37 |
16 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 36 |
17 | Swansea CitySwansea | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 34 |
18 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 31 |
19 | Hull City | 29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 29 |
20 | Stoke CityStoke | 29 | 6 | 11 | 12 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 29 |
21 | Portsmouth | 29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 36 | 52 | -16 | 29 |
22 | Derby CountyDerby | 29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 27 |
23 | Luton TownLuton | 29 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 48 | -19 | 26 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 29 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 27 | 62 | -35 | 22 |
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